Poster's note: Cross posting due to weather effects
https://www.pnas.org/content/116/38/18841

Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
Oliver Branch and Volker Wulfmeyer
PNAS September 17, 2019 116 (38) 18841-18847; first published September 3,
2019 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904754116
Edited by Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe, Texas A&M University, College Station,
TX, and approved July 25, 2019 (received for review March 19, 2019)

This article has a correction. Please see:
Correction for Branch and Wulfmeyer, Deliberate enhancement of rainfall
using desert plantations
Article Figures & SI Info & Metrics PDF
Significance
Our desert plantation concept aligns closely with research into biological
carbon sequestration solutions but uniquely extends into the purview of
deliberate rainfall enhancement. With this synergy of carbon sequestration
and regional weather modification, we can counteract water scarcity and
desertification while minimizing conflicts with food croplands. We have
demonstrated that large plantations do enhance rainfall in arid regions and
identified the underlying process chain. By using this knowledge we have
developed a global index to assess which deserts are most favorable for
weather modification and discuss how rainfall impacts can be intensified
using agricultural methods. This potential for rainfall enhancement and
carbon sequestration makes the research extremely interesting for the
scientific community and for society.

Abstract
Large-scale afforestation is increasingly being considered as a negative
emissions method for sequestering large quantities of atmospheric CO2. At
the same time, regional weather modification methods, like cloud seeding,
are being used to counteract increasing water scarcity in arid regions.
Large-scale sustainable desert agroforestry plantations can contribute to
climate change mitigation and can also be used to modify regional climate,
particularly rainfall. Climate impacts from plantations need to be well
understood before considering implementation. Typically, impact studies are
attempted at continental or global scales and use coarse-resolution models,
which suffer from severe systematic errors. This is highly problematic
because decision makers should only countenance geoengineering schemes like
global afforestation if impacts are understood on the regional scale. We
posit the necessity of using high-resolution regional models with
sophisticated representations of land–atmosphere feedback and vegetation.
This approach allows for studying desert plantations and the process chain
leading to climate modification. We demonstrate that large-scale
plantations enhance regional clouds and rainfall and derive an index for
predicting plantation impacts. Thus, desert plantations represent a unique
environmental solution via predictable regional weather modification and
carbon storage.

desert plantationsweather modificationrainfall enhancement

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