http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0055-y

Distributed governance of Solar Radiation Management geoengineering: A
possible solution to SRM’s “free-driver” problem?
Andrew LOCKLEY( <[email protected]>)
Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management, University College
London, 1-19 Torrington Place, London WC1E 7HB, UK


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Abstract

Geoengineering (deliberate climate modification) is a possible way to limit
Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) (Shepherd, 2009; National Research
Council, 2015). Solar Radiation Management geoengineering (SRM) offers
relatively inexpensive, rapid temperature control. However, this low cost
leads to a risk of controversial unilateral intervention—the “free-driver”
problem (Weitzman, 2015). Consequently, this creates a risk of
counter-geoengineering (deliberate warming) (Parker et al., 2018),
resulting in governance challenges (Svoboda, 2017) akin to an arms race.
Free-driver deployment scenarios previously considered include the rogue
state, Greenfinger (Bodansky, 2013), or power blocs (Ricke et al., 2013),
implying disagreement and conflict. We propose a novel distributed
governance model of consensually-constrained unilateralism: Countries’
authority is limited to each state’s fraction of the maximum realistic
intervention (e.g., pre-industrial temperature). We suggest a division of
authority based on historical emissions (Rocha et al., 2015)—noting
alternatives (e.g., population). To aid understanding, we offer an
analogue: An over-heated train carriage, with passenger-controlled windows.
We subsequently discuss the likely complexities, notably Coasian
side-payments. Finally, we suggest further research: Algebraic, bot and
human modeling; and observational studies.
Keywords geoengineering
<http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0055-y#>      Solar
Radiation Management
<http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0055-y#>
governance <http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0055-y#>
   decentralised
<http://journal.hep.com.cn/fem/EN/10.1007/s42524-019-0055-y#>
Corresponding Authors: Andrew LOCKLEY
Just Accepted Date: 18 September 2019   Online First Date: 24 October 2019

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