Poster's note: tangential relationship to geoengineering and a useful
exploration of the relevant earth system processes

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086246

The Potential Impact of Nuclear Conflict on Ocean Acidification
Nicole S. Lovenduski
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Cheryl S. Harrison
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Holly Olivarez
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Charles G. Bardeen
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First published:21 January 2020
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086246
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Abstract

We demonstrate that the global cooling resulting from a range of nuclear
conflict scenarios would temporarily increase the pH in the surface ocean
by up to 0.06 units over a 5‐year period, briefly alleviating the decline
in pH associated with ocean acidification. Conversely, the global cooling
dissolves atmospheric carbon into the upper ocean, driving a 0.1 to 0.3
unit decrease in the aragonite saturation state ( [image:
urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0001]) that persists for [image:
urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0002]10 years. The peak
anomaly in pH occurs 2 years post conflict, while the [image:
urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0003] anomaly peaks 4‐ to
5‐years post conflict. The decrease in [image:
urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0004] would exacerbate a
primary threat of ocean acidification: the inability of marine calcifying
organisms to maintain their shells/skeletons in a corrosive environment.
Our results are based on sensitivity simulations conducted with a
state‐of‐the‐art Earth system model integrated under various black carbon
(soot) external forcings. Our findings suggest that regional nuclear
conflict may have ramifications for global ocean acidification.

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