https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-020-02686-6

A specialised delivery system for stratospheric sulphate aerosols (part 2):
financial cost and equivalent CO2 emission
I. E. de Vries, M. Janssens, […]DSE 16-02
Climatic Change (2020)Cite this article

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Abstract
Temporary stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) using sulphate compounds
could help avoid some of the adverse and irreversible impacts of global
warming, but comprises many risks and uncertainties. Among these, the
direct financial cost and carbon emissions of potential SAI delivery
systems have hitherto received only modest attention. Therefore, this paper
quantifies the initial and operating financial costs and initial and
operating equivalent CO2 (CO2eq) emissions of the specialised
aircraft-based SAI delivery system developed with relatively high-fidelity
tools in part 1 of this series. We analyse an interval of operating
conditions, within which we devote special attention to four injection
scenarios outlined in part 1: Three scenarios where H2SO4 vapour is
directly injected at several dispersion rates and one SO2 injection
scenario. We estimate financial cost through Raymer’s adjustment of Rand
Corporation’s Development and Production Costs for Aircraft (DAPCA) model,
augmented by additional data. CO2eq emission is computed from existing data
and the computed fuel consumption for each of the scenarios. The latter
estimates include an emission weighting factor to account for non-CO2
aircraft combustion products at altitude. For direct H2SO4 injection, both
financial cost and CO2eq emission are sensitive to the design dispersion
rate. For scenarios where higher dispersion rates are achieved, the
delivery system’s cost and CO2eq are relatively small compared with the
presumed benefits of SAI. The most optimistic H2SO4 scenario is found to
have a financial cost and CO2eq emission similar to that of SO2 injection,
while potentially allowing for reductions in the annual mass of sulphur
injected to achieve a target negative radiative forcing. The estimates of
financial cost and CO2eq emission were subjected to sensitivity analyses in
several key parameters, including aircraft operational empty weight, engine
specific fuel consumption, fuel price and aerosol price. The results
indicate that the feasibility of the considered scenarios is robust.

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