Hi All

The computer climate models predict a fairly steady return to the trajectory of what would otherwise have happened over a period of ten years.

Would people who are worried about the 'termination shock' prefer irreversible solutions?  Several irreversibilities are the likely result of tipping points following a 'Do nothing, not even research' policy.

Stephen

Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design. School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh EH9 3DW, Scotland s.sal...@ed.ac.uk, Tel +44 (0)131 662 1180 WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs, YouTube Jamie Taylor Power for Change

On 01/08/2020 18:30, Andrew Lockley wrote:

Poster's note: missed previously

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13698230.2020.1694216?journalCode=fcri20


  The Panglossian politics of the geoclique

Catriona McKinnon <https://www.tandfonline.com/author/McKinnon%2C+Catriona>ORCID Icon <https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0434-1083>
Pages 584-599 | Published online: 20 Nov 2019

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ABSTRACT

Solar radiation management (SRM) – a form of geoengineering – creates a risk of ‘termination shock’. If SRM was to be stopped abruptly then temperatures could rise very rapidly with catastrophic impacts. Two prominent geoengineering researchers have recently argued that the risk of termination shock could be minimised through the adoption of ‘relatively simple’ policies. This paper shows their arguments to be premised on heroically optimistic assumptions about the prospects for global cooperation and sustained trust in an SRM deployment scenario. The paper argues that worst-case scenarios are the right place to start in thinking about the governance of SRM.

KEYWORDS: Solar radiation management <https://www.tandfonline.com/keyword/Solar+Radiation+Management>, termination shock <https://www.tandfonline.com/keyword/Termination+Shock>, worst-case scenarios <https://www.tandfonline.com/keyword/Worst-case+Scenarios>, geoengineering governance <https://www.tandfonline.com/keyword/Geoengineering+Governance>, precautionary action <https://www.tandfonline.com/keyword/Precautionary+Action>
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