https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/feb/08/solar-geoengineering-test-flight-plan-under-fire-over-environmental-concerns-aoe?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other&__twitter_impression=true&s=03

Balloon test flight plan under fire over solar geoengineering fears
Swedish environmental groups warn test flight could be first step towards
the adoption of a potentially “dangerous, unpredictable, and unmanageable”
technology

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Patrick Greenfield
 @pgreenfielduk
Mon 8 Feb 2021 06.30 GMT
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A proposed scientific balloon flight in northern Sweden has attracted
opposition from environmental groups over fears it could lead to the use of
solar geoengineering to cool the Earth and combat the climate crisis by
mimicking the effect of a large volcanic eruption.

In June, a team of Harvard scientists is planning to launch a high-altitude
balloon from Kiruna in Lapland to test whether it can carry equipment for a
future small-scale experiment on radiation-reflecting particles in the
Earth’s atmosphere.


An independent advisory committee will rule on whether to approve the
balloon test flight by 15 February. Swedish environmental groups have
written to the government and the Swedish Space Corporation (SSC) to voice
their opposition.

In the letters, seen by the Guardian, organisations including the Swedish
Society for Nature Conservation, Greenpeace Sweden and Friends of the Earth
Sweden said that while the balloon flight scheduled for June does not
involve the release of particles, it could be the first step towards the
adoption of a potentially “dangerous, unpredictable, and unmanageable”
technology.

Stratospheric aerosols are a key component of solar geoengineering
technology that some have proposed as a plan B for controlling the Earth’s
temperature if the climate crisis makes conditions intolerable and
governments do not take sufficient action.


Studies have found that widespread adoption of solar geoengineering could
be inexpensive and safer than some fear. But critics argue the consequences
of its use are not well understood and stratospheric aerosol injections
(SAI) on a large scale could damage the ozone layer, cause heating in the
stratosphere and disrupt ecosystems.

Harvard professor Frank Keutsch, who leads the research group hoping to
conduct the SCoPEx – stratospheric controlled perturbation experiment –
said he shared many of the environmentalists’ concerns. He said the
research could help scientists better understand the potential risks of
solar geoengineering, if the experiments are allowed to go ahead.

“The risk of not doing research on this outweighs the risk of doing this
research,” Keutsch told the Guardian, offering to speak to the Swedish
environmental groups about the issues they have raised.


“I’m really worried about the world we are heading towards. For me, that is
a reason to do research on solar radiation management. Climate change is a
problem of profound size and potentially profound impact on humanity. I
think we should be considering all kinds of options because it’s unlikely
that there is going to be a silver bullet that will fix everything. We need
to be considering all options and we need to do research on them.”

So far the technology is at a theoretical stage. It would replicate the
effect of sulphur dioxide particles released in volcanic eruptions; these
linger in the Earth’s stratosphere and reflect solar radiation. Particles
from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines in 1991 cooled
global temperatures by around 0.6C for 15 months.

The Harvard researchers hope SCoPEx will advance solar geoengineering
models and improve understanding of the technology’s potential risks and
benefits through small-scale experiments on aerosols of calcium carbonate
and other substances about 12 miles (20km) above the Earth’s surface.


The scientists said they would abide by the ruling of the board, and the
advisory group told the Guardian that any experiment involving a release of
particles would require a broader review, including engagement with Swedish
civil society.

The letter to Per Bolund, the Swedish minister for environment and climate,
from the environmental groups, reads: “While the first stratospheric flight
proposed for Kiruna intends to test the balloon and gondola equipment, the
stated purpose of the flight is to prepare for the release of aerosols into
the stratosphere later in the year.

Top scientists warn of 'ghastly future of mass extinction' and climate
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“Since the goal of the initial flight is to enable the subsequent release
of particles, the social and environmental impacts of this test cannot be
evaluated in isolation from the overall purpose of the SCoPEx project. The
balloon flight must be viewed as integral to the project’s intention of
conducting open-air testing and particle releases.


“We appeal to the Swedish government to oppose the SSC’s involvement with
SCoPEx’s proposed tests, as they are fundamentally incompatible with the
precautionary principle, in breach of international norms, and inconsistent
with Sweden’s own climate policy framework as well as its reputation as an
international climate leader.”

They go on to argue that: “SAI is a technology with the potential for
extreme consequences, and stands out as dangerous, unpredictable, and
unmanageable. There is no justification for testing and experimenting with
technology that seems to be too dangerous to ever be used.”

Raymond Pierrehumbert, a University of Oxford physicist and specialist on
climate dynamics, called for the establishment of an international body to
govern geoengineering experiments. Pierrehumbert said widespread adoption
of the technology would be a “Damocles sword” over humanity.


“If we don’t actually reduce our CO2 emissions to nearly zero, because of
the multimillennial lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere, each year that goes
on, you’ll have more CO2, which gives you more of a warming force which has
to be counteracted by an even larger amount of geoengineering.

“You go into this death spiral, where you try to keep the Earth habitable
in the face of ever-increasing CO2 and set ourselves up for a bigger and
bigger risk of catastrophe.”

The Swedish government did not provide comment to the Guardian.

An SSC spokesperson said: “The flight will only be conducted provided that
it is compliant with national and international regulations. The process to
find out if this flight is legally compliant and ethically appropriate is
ongoing. As of today we don’t know whether there will be a flight or not.


“SSC provides services and infrastructure for sounding rocket and balloon
launches, carrying many different scientific experiments within various
fields. The purpose of this flight is to test technical equipment, it is
not an active experiment.”

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