https://www.geoengineeringmonitor.org/2021/02/letter-to-the-swedish-government-on-planned-scopex-test-flight/

February 8, 2021

To:
Per Bolund, Minister for Environment and Climate, and Deputy Prime Minister
Ibrahim Baylan, Minister for Business, Industry and Innovation
Matilda Ernkrans, Minister for Higher Education and Research

cc:
Stefan Gardefjord, President and CEO of Swedish Space Corporation
Monica Lingegård, Chairperson of the Board of Swedish Space Corporation

Dear Minsters Bolund, Baylan and Ernkrans,

We are writing to express serious concern regarding a planned test by the
Stratospheric Controlled Perturbation Experiment (SCoPEx) project towards
the development of geoengineering technology, to be conducted with the
direct involvement of the state-owned Swedish Space Corporation (SSC).

In June 2021 SSC is planning to facilitate a Stratospheric Aerosol
Injection (SAI) related test out of SSCs facilities in Kiruna, Northern
Sweden. SAI is a form of solar geoengineering which, if developed and
deployed, would attempt to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the
earth’s surface by injecting large volumes of sun-blocking particles into
the upper levels of the earth’s atmosphere.

While the first stratospheric flight proposed for Kiruna intends to test
the balloon and gondola equipment, the stated purpose of the flight is to
prepare for the release of aerosols into the stratosphere later in the
year—a test SCoPEx hopes might be possible to conduct in Kiruna. This would
be the first known SAI related open air release of particles.

Since the goal of the initial flight is to enable the subsequent release of
particles, the social and environmental impacts of this test cannot be
evaluated in isolation from the overall purpose of the SCoPEx project. The
balloon flight must be viewed as integral to the project’s intention of
conducting open-air testing and particle release.

We appeal to the Swedish government to oppose the SSC’s involvement with
SCoPEx’s proposed tests, as they are fundamentally incompatible with the
precautionary principle, in breach of international norms, and inconsistent
with Sweden’s own climate policy framework1 as well as its reputation as an
international climate leader.

SAI is a technology with the potential for extreme consequences, and stands
out as dangerous, unpredictable, and unmanageable. There is no
justification for testing and experimenting with technology that seems to
be too dangerous to ever be used.

Even proponents of the technology acknowledge that, if implemented at the
scale necessary to have an impact on global temperatures, SAI and other
solar geoengineering technologies could set in motion inherently
unpredictable shocks to the climate system, which could alter hydrological
cycles, disrupt monsoon patterns and increase drought. Rather than
mitigating the risks of climate change, SAI would likely exacerbate and
compound the extreme weather and climate instability that global warming is
already causing. For example, computer modelling suggests that SAI could
disrupt the sources of food and water for 2 billion people in Asia and
Africa in unpredictable ways.2

Another, fundamental concern is that because SAI only temporarily masks the
warming effect of greenhouse gases by blocking sunlight, suddenly stopping
the injection of these sunlight-blocking particles would very likely cause
a sudden spike in temperatures. The threat of this kind of ”termination
shock” could lock the world into an irreversible nightmare situation where
stopping SAI may be worse than continuing, despite mounting catastrophes.

In view of the uncertainties and profound risks of geoengineering, and with
Swedish leadership, the UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)
introduced 2008-10 a de facto moratorium on geoengineering.3 The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change cautions strongly against any
reliance on SAI, and solar geoengineering technologies were not included in
any modeled pathway in the IPCC’s landmark Special Report on 1.5C.

The real danger of SCoPEx’s plans for Kiruna lies not in the research
itself, but in the very real global ramifications of proceeding along a
slippery slope towards normalization and deployment. Several critics and
researchers point to the danger of assuming that a forceful technology such
as SAI could be kept on the shelf as a “plan B” without opening the door to
the potential that, once developed, powerful interests could move to
unilateral deployment, with significant implications for peace, security
and human rights around the world.4

The political risk involved in this test is hence the most pressing
concern. The idea of the possible future use of SAI is already serving as
an excuse for actors who directly benefit and profit from continued carbon
emissions to delay and evade action. Further development of SAI as a
possible “emergency technology” risks deflating the critical pressure
necessary to transition to zero-carbon societies in time, which could prove
detrimental for the world’s efforts to deal with the climate crisis.

We also note that the decision-making process does not appear to include
any populations potentially affected by the technology in Sweden or
globally, neither do there seem to have been sincere processes to ensure
free prior and informed consent in accordance with the United Nations
Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP).

If SCoPEx proceeds in Kiruna there could be serious consequences for
Sweden’s reputation as a climate leader. In the lead-up to the Stockholm
+50 conference in 2022, Sweden is in a unique position to show leadership
in pressing for the rapid transition to real zero-emission societies, 100%
renewable energy, and the global phase-out of fossil fuel production.
Having a state-owned corporation facilitate the advancement of solar
geoengineering derails such ambition and risks seriously tarnishing
Sweden’s international standing.

Sweden has long championed human rights and climate policy. It is with this
in mind, that we respectfully urge the Swedish government to take a strong
and explicit stand against the SCoPEx test, and against SAI and
geoengineering technologies in general. Any action towards eventual
deployment of SAI risks distracting the world from urgently reducing
greenhouse gasses and advances a technology that has the potential to put
the atmosphere, environment and communities in Sweden and around the world
at even greater risk.

Sincerely,

Johanna Sandahl, President of SSNC, on behalf of
Greenpeace Sweden
Jordens Vänner / Friends of the Earth Sweden
Naturskyddsföreningen / Swedish Society for Nature Conservation (SSNC)
Action Group on Erosion, Technology and Concentration (ETC Group)
Biofuelwatch
Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL)
Climate Justice Alliance (CJA)
Friend of the Earth International
Heinrich Böll Foundation
Indigenous Environmental Network (IEN)
WhatNext?

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