https://www.documentjournal.com/2021/02/in-a-warming-world-an-engineered-climate-edges-towards-reality/


In a warming world, an engineered climate edges towards reality By Alex
Hodor-Lee
Above The Fold

In a warming world, an engineered climate edges towards reality
Read time 24 minutes

In a warming world, an engineered climate edges towards reality
Text by Alex Hodor-Lee

Photography by Alex Hodor-Lee

Interview by Elizabeth Kolbert

Posted February 9, 2021
Four environmental experts weigh in on the peril and promise of a
'geoengineered' Earth

1816 was dubbed “the year without summer.” In 1815, Indonesia’s Mount
Tambora erupted; the largest volcanic eruption in recorded history, it left
a wake of catastrophic aftermath. “There were still on the roadside the
remains of several corpses, and the marks of where many others had been
interred: the villages almost entirely deserted and the houses fallen down,
the surviving inhabitants having dispersed in search of food,” Sir Stamford
Raffles, a British colonial officer, observed. In addition to lava and an
eight-inch blanket of ash, the volcano belched out millions of tons of
aerosol, effectively blocking large swaths of sun rays from reaching
Earth’s surface, cooling the planet by three degrees celsius.

In 1992, in a province in the neighboring Philippines, there was another
cataclysmic explosion. The eruption of Mount Pinatubo released 20 million
tons of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, creating an expansive
chemical cloud spanning 200 miles long, again blocking the sun’s rays,
lowering Earth’s temperature by 0.5 degrees celsius over the next two years.

These naturally occurring cooling phenomena have today’s climate scientists
wondering whether we, in service of combatting man-made climate warming,
can use science and technology to simulate organic methods of lowering
Earth’s temperature. Can we cool the planet? And, if we can, should we?
Once considered the stuff of science fiction, geoengineering—the umbrella
term for large-scale, intentional climate intervention—is now a radical
solution for an ever-warming world.

Much in the same way that social distancing, masks, and ultimately a
vaccine help flatten the Covid curve, climate intervention proponents
believe engineering techniques—chiefly, solar radiation management—might
“shave the peak” of average global temperatures by using different
technologies to re-radiate sunlight out of the atmosphere. Shaving the peak
may avert runaway climate scenarios or hothouse effects—feedback loops
triggered in Earth’s climatological regime. One runaway scenario involves
Greenland’s thawing permafrost: if it indeed melts away, it will reveal
heat-absorbing earth, and possibly release methane deposits, the magnitudes
of which will severely accelerate warming.

With 40 gigatons of carbon being pumped into the atmosphere each year, it
seems unlikely that mankind will reach the two-degrees celsius reduction
target of the Paris Climate Accord. As we edge towards climate midnight,
radical solutions are looking more and more appealing. In our failure to
change our habits, we now consider changing our habitat. So,
geoengineering, once fringe science, has entered into the debate over what
is scientifically possible and perhaps even necessary in the battle to
preserve the planet.

“If there is to be an answer to the problem of control, it’s going to be
more control,” writes author Elizabeth Kolbert. Kolbert, a staff writer at
The New Yorker, is the author of several books, including the Pulitzer
Prize-winning, The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History. For two decades
Kolbert has traversed our blue planet investigating and communicating
nature’s chief environmental stressor: humans. Her latest book, Under A
White Sky: The Nature of the Future (out today!), is a study of man’s
interventions in nature, including electrifying rivers and lab-grown super
coral. “What could possibly go wrong?” Kolbert writes of these solutions,
later asking, “What’s the alternative? Rejecting such technologies as
unnatural isn’t going to bring back nature. The choice is not between what
is, but between what is and what will be, which often enough, is nothing.”

Kolbert joins Document to moderate a roundtable discussion with David
Keith, Kelly Wanser, and Holly Jean Buck, as they discuss—for all of its
peril and promise—the future of climate intervention.

For decades, Harvard professor David Keith has led research on
stratospheric aerosol injection, a solar radiation management technique,
which involves uniformly spraying aerosols into Earth’s upper atmosphere to
reflect sunlight away from the Earth, thereby cooling the planet. Keith,
with a team of Harvard University scientists and researchers will undertake
their first field experiment in June.

Kelly Wanser is Executive Director of SilverLining, an NGO working with
stakeholders to advance research of large-scale technological innovations,
namely Marine Cloud Brightening. MCB, as it’s known, involves seeding
clouds with trillions of salt particles per second in an effort to make
them brighter, re-radiating the sun’s heat away from Earth.

Holly Jean Buck is a professor of environment and sustainability at the
University at Buffalo. Her 2019 book, After Geoengineering: Climate
Tragedy, Repair and Restoration is a cogitation on power and equity and
adds an edge of stark moral conscience to intervention discourse. Buck
worries large-scale interventions will exacerbate inequity as we near
deployment scenarios. A best case scenario, Buck writes, involves not
writing these expansive programs or deploying these technologies at all.

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