https://acp.copernicus.org/preprints/acp-2021-148/

Estimating the potential cooling effect of cirrus thinning achieved via the
seeding approach
Jiaojiao Liu and Xiangjun Shi
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Received: 19 Feb 2021 – Accepted for review: 26 Feb 2021 – Discussion
started: 01 Mar 2021
Abstract. Cirrus thinning is a newly emerging geoengineering approach to
mitigate global warming. To sufficiently exploit the potential cooling
effect of cirrus thinning with the seeding approach, a flexible seeding
method is used to calculate the optimal seeding number concentration, which
is just enough to prevent homogeneous ice nucleation from occurring. A
simulation using the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) with the
flexible seeding method shows a global cooling effect of 1.36 ± 0.18 W m−2,
which is approximately two-thirds of that from artificially turning off
homogeneous nucleation (−1.98 ± 0.26 W m−2). However, simulations with
fixed seeding ice nuclei particle number concentrations of 20 and 200 L−1
show a weak cooling effect of −0.27 ± 0.26 W m−2 and warming effect of 0.35
± 0.28 W m−2, respectively. Further analysis shows that cirrus seeding
leads to a significant warming effect of liquid and mixed-phase clouds,
which counteracts the cooling effect of cirrus clouds. This counteraction
is more prominent at low latitudes and leads to a pronounced net warm
effect over some low latitude regions. The sensitivity experiment shows
that cirrus seeding carried out at latitudes with solar noon zenith angles
greater than 12° could yields a stronger global cooling effect of −2.00 ±
0.25 W m−2. Overall, the potential cooling effect of cirrus thinning is
considerable, and the flexible seeding method is essential.

How to cite. Liu, J. and Shi, X.: Estimating the potential cooling effect
of cirrus thinning achieved via the seeding approach, Atmos. Chem. Phys.
Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-148, in review, 2021.

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