https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/4231/2021/

Comparing different generations of idealized solar geoengineering
simulations in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)
Ben Kravitz et al.
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Received: 17 Jul 2020 – Discussion started: 28 Aug 2020 – Revised: 04 Feb
2021 – Accepted: 14 Feb 2021 – Published: 19 Mar 2021
Abstract
Solar geoengineering has been receiving increased attention in recent years
as a potential temporary solution to offset global warming. One method of
approximating global-scale solar geoengineering in climate models is via
solar reduction experiments. Two generations of models in the
Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) have now simulated
offsetting a quadrupling of the CO2 concentration with solar reduction.
This simulation is idealized and designed to elicit large responses in the
models. Here, we show that energetics, temperature, and hydrological cycle
changes in this experiment are statistically indistinguishable between the
two ensembles. Of the variables analyzed here, the only major differences
involve highly parameterized and uncertain processes, such as cloud forcing
or terrestrial net primary productivity. We conclude that despite numerous
structural differences and uncertainties in models over the past two
generations of models, including an increase in climate sensitivity in the
latest generation of models, the models are consistent in their aggregate
climate response to global solar dimming.

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