https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12872

Solar Radiation Modification ‐ A “Silver Bullet” Climate Policy for
Populist and Authoritarian Regimes?
Axel Michaelowa
<https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorStored=Michaelowa%2C+Axel>
<https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/doSearch?ContribAuthorStored=Michaelowa%2C+Axel>

Abstract

Populist and authoritarian leaders are increasingly coming to power in
large countries. They often have a climate sceptic approach and do away
with mitigation policies when coming to power. Increasing impacts of
extreme meteorological events linked to climate change could lead to a
situation where the supporters of the populist leader or elites crucial for
the survival of an authoritarian regime are pushing to do something to
address climate change. In order not to lose power, the leader may look for
quick and cheap solutions. In such a context, solar radiation modification
(SRM), for example, by stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), will become
very attractive as it is likely to have low costs and rapid effects.
Populist or authoritarian governments are unlikely to care for negative
impacts of SRM abroad as they often act nationalistically with an explicit
disdain for multilateral solutions. We discuss the incentive structure and
political economy that populist and authoritarian leaders may face
regarding unilateral use of SRM and elaborate how the international
community could try to prevent or at least ‘contain’ such unilateral uses
of SRM. Unfortunately, such ‘containment’ is contingent on the most
powerful states not being populist or authoritarian regimes.

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