https://themagicofand.medium.com/biden-bets-big-at-climate-summit-should-geoengineering-be-a-part-of-his-agenda-23eb3a93664e

Should Biden Invest in Geoengineering?

Background: President Biden recently opened his Earth Day summit of forty
global leaders by calling for the United States to make a fifty-per-cent
reduction
<https://www.vox.com/22398456/biden-climate-change-goals-industry-buildings-agriculture>in
greenhouse gas emissions by 2030. The statement raised speculation amongst
politicians and environmentalists as to how exactly the administration
would achieve the goal. One of the strategies being recommended by National
Academies is geoengineering
<https://cen.acs.org/environment/atmospheric-chemistry/Solar-geoengineering-research-funding-injection/99/web/2021/03>which
has been controversial. This piece will illustrate the potential moral
hazard geoengineering presents and explore whether it is worth the risk to
invest resources to research this area further.

So what even is geoengineering? The Oxford Geoengineering Program defines
geoengineering
<https://e360.yale.edu/features/geoengineer-the-planet-more-scientists-now-say-it-must-be-an-option>
as
“the deliberate large-scale intervention in the Earth’s natural systems to
counteract climate change.” There are two main types, shading the Earth
from solar radiation, Solar Radiation Management (SRM) and the removal of
CO2 or other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere, Carbon Dioxide Removal
(CDR). SRM techniques would attempt to control climate conditions by
reducing the amount of radiation absorbed by the Earth. Because SRM
techniques essentially focus on climate change’s symptoms rather than its
root causes, these methods involve more significant risks and
uncertainties. CDR techniques would slow the increase of atmospheric
concentrations of CO2 and could even move concentrations in the atmosphere
back toward their pre-industrial state, moving the climate gradually toward
earlier conditions.

What’s a moral hazard? In the insurance industry, moral hazard
<https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/moralhazard.asp> refers to “the
tendency for insurance against loss to reduce incentives to prevent or
minimize the cost of loss.” For example, someone with car insurance may be
a less cautious driver because they know they are covered in case of an
accident. Researchers have found evidence of moral hazards in both
insurance coverage and worker compensation. Several studies demonstrate
that health insurance coverage leads to increased demand for medical care.
Similarly, utilization of medical services is positively correlated with
the proportion of costs covered by insurance. Workers’ compensation
insurance also generates moral hazard effects. Increases in benefits are
associated with increases in both the duration of claims and the reporting
of accidents. Thus, it is evident that there are moral hazards that exist
in today’s society, and geoengineering, which follows a similar pattern,
could also be considered to be a moral hazard.

How can geoengineering be a moral hazard? According to Prof. Albert C. Lin,
professor of law at the University of California, Davis,
<https://law.ucdavis.edu/faculty/lin/files/ELQ.MoralHazard.pdf> when
tackling climate change, there are two primary methods, mitigation, and
adaptation. Mitigation encompasses efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions from human activity or enhance GHG uptake by forests and other
carbon sinks. Adaptation refers to adjustments in natural or human systems
to the effects or predicted effects of climate change. Geoengineering
offers a third possible approach. Many climate activists claim that
geoengineering endeavors would undermine mainstream efforts such as
mitigation and adaptation to combat climate change. This concern has been
characterized as a problem of moral hazard. Just as a person with fire
insurance will be less cautious regarding fire safety infractions — the
prospect of geoengineering the Earth in response to climate change might
exacerbate the very behaviors contributing to climate change. Individuals
might curb voluntary efforts to reduce carbon emissions and fossil fuel
consumption. Other GHG-generating behaviors might even increase from a
misguided belief that climate change no longer poses a threat. This, in
conjunction with the already existing cynicism about climate change, could
have catastrophic impacts on the environment. Societies might divert
resources toward geoengineering schemes that ultimately prove futile or
unworkable, decreasing the funds dedicated to mitigation and adaptation.
Although geoengineering might ameliorate some of climate change’s most
several impacts, experts generally agree that it is no substitute for
mitigation and adaptation. At best, geoengineering would offer only a
partial response to climate change as most of the proposed solutions either
come with a plethora of potential detrimental side effects — or only reduce
a fraction of the carbon necessary to attain a healthy environment.

Should we still research geoengineering? Put simply, yes. While it is
evident that geoengineering poses a serious moral hazard — it may also be
our only option in a crisis situation. As opposed to writing it off as
radical and overreaching, it is imperative that proper research be
conducted to offset some of the harms presented and increase its efficacy.
In Bill Gates’ “How to Avoid A Climate Disaster
<https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/633968/how-to-avoid-a-climate-disaster-by-bill-gates/>

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