https://eandt.theiet.org/content/sponsored/ask-the-experts-geoengineering/

E&T Promoted: Ask the experts: geoengineering

Geoengineering is the large-scale intervention of the earth’s climate
systems with the aim to counteract climate change. Could this solution
reverse large-scale greenhouse-gas production? If so, what are the proposed
techniques and are they even safe to test?

We asked leading experts for their views on this critical topic: Rupert
Read, academic, Green Party campaigner and spokesperson for Extinction
Rebellion; and Andy Parker, the Project Director of the solar Radiation
Management Governance Initiative.

*Rupert Read*

Do you believe the current plans for carbon taxes and decarbonisation will
be enough to curtail anthropogenic climate change?

*Rupert*: In a word: no. No way… While policies like ‘carbon taxes’ are
necessary and to be welcomed (provided they are done in
a ‘ progressive’ way: e.g. via a fee and dividend mechanism, or (better
still) ‘ carbon rationing’), they are undermined by the policy goals that
governments, both left and right, are committed pursuing in almost every
country in the world. Most governments are signed up to ever-expanding
economic growth as a policy goal. This is a philosophy fit for the cancer
cell, not for the political bodies responsible for ensuring our continued
survival and/letalone flourishing. Any efficiency gains made by policies
like a carbon tax are fast outweighed by the expansion of the economy (e.g.
via the Jevons Paradox effect), which comes with an expansion in emissions
and the destruction of ecology (as documented in Tim Jackson’s work).

What is the precautionary principle?

*Rupert*: The precautionary principle is a legal and philosophical
decision-making tool. While there are different formulations of the
principle, they coalesce around the idea that in the absence of certainty
but in the face of credible catastrophic threats, we need to act *ahead* of
the evidence to remove the threat. While being evidence-based is often
thought of as a good thing, there are times when the remaining uncertainty
in the science should serve as a reason to regulate, rather than waiting
around for the evidence to come in. While this may slow the process of
implementing some new technologies, this is a price worth paying to ensure
that we do not stumble into catastrophe.

What’s the one biggest danger in researching solar radiation management
(SRM) technologies?

*Rupert*: ‘Moral hazard’ is a real danger. What we absolutely must not do
is give people the impression that SRM will enable us to carry on polluting
like there is no tomorrow.

I have argued for many years that SRM should be discussed, and researched
by way of models etc. Because it is a brilliant way to bring home to people
the horrors we are facing. Ordinary citizens, when they find that SRM is
being researched, tend to get it more that the climate crisis is real.

But we mustn’t allow research and discussion to segue into legitimation.

SRM is simply a form of [turbo-charged] shallow adaptation. We need to put
geoengineering firmly in its place in the conversation it is part of - the
adaptation conversation. And seek to dialectically oppose it with
Transformative and Deep Adaptations.

If there was one type of SRM technology you could completely prevent from
ever being experimented with, which would it be and why?

*Rupert*: There should be no experimentation ever with SRM *at scale*.
Because experimentation = implementation.

If there was only one thing they could do, what could the public be doing
to support you?

*Rupert*: If there is one thing that people can do to support the movement
that I am part of, the movement to save our common future, it is to be
honest with themselves and each other about the scale of crisis we are in.
That begins with acknowledging your own fears, and reading about the
crisis, and then talking about it honestly (including with your children).
This radical honesty is a prerequisite to effect action on climate and
ecological breakdown. I think that if people are honest, they will realise
that there is a very real chance that such breakdown will occur (perhaps:
is occurring). Realising this will also shift the conversation in a
necessary way towards adaptation to a more hostile climate as well as
emissions mitigation. We need people to act at different levels. Consider
what skills and resources you have and apply them to tackling climate and
ecological breakdown however you can. Whether through your job, through
your financial resources, through your mind, or (most nobly of all) by
putting your body on the line.


*Andy Parker*

Do you believe the current plans for carbon taxes and decarbonisation will
be enough to curtail anthropogenic climate change?

*Andy:* No. Current policies are projected to result in global warming of
roughly 3C. That might not sound like much but it means heat waves, rising
seas, droughts and more powerful storms – with the effects falling
disproportionately on the poor. Even if countries fulfil all the pledges
that they have made, the planet is expected to warm beyond the 2C limit
agreed at the UN.

What is solar geoengineering?

*Andy:* Solar radiation management geoengineering (SRM) is a controversial
proposal for reducing some of the impacts of climate change by reflecting
away a small fraction of inbound sunlight. Leading proposals include
injecting tiny reflective aerosols into the upper atmosphere to replicate
the cooling effect of volcanoes, or spraying seawater into low-lying marine
clouds to make them more reflective.

Why do you think it is important for SRM techniques to be researched?

*Andy*: SRM has the potential to be very helpful or very harmful. It is the
only known way to quickly stop or reverse the rise in global temperatures.
This means that if we humanity fails to cut carbon emissions fast enough,
SRM could be the only way to keep warming below 2°C. But it could also have
damaging side effects, could cause political tensions, and could distract
politicians from cutting emissions. The stakes are high, and we are going
to need much more evidence if we are to make an informed decision as to
whether to use or reject it.

If there was one type of SRM technology you could completely green-light
and push through the research of, which would it be and why?

*Andy*: I would not want to pick winners at this stage because we just
don’t know enough to make informed choices. We need to accelerate research
on all the different ideas because ignorance is not going to help us
evaluate them.

If there was only one thing they could do, what could the public be doing
to support you?

*Andy*: The bigger question is what green groups and governments could be
doing to support SRM research. Wherever public engagement has been done it
has found that publics support more research into SRM – even though they
are quite sensibly opposed to using it at this stage. Green groups and
governments need to lend their support to SRM research so that we can find
out whether it would reduce or increase the risks of global warming

Our EngTalk on the 16 July 2021, Geoengineering: In case of emergency,
break glass
<https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fevents.theiet.org%2Fevents%2Fgeoengineering-in-case-of-emergency-break-glass%2F&data=04%7C01%7CJaneNeufville%40theiet.org%7C008f2d23054c4316361808d936242917%7C37f807baaa3943e38018abddb6f7781c%7C0%7C0%7C637600351192302564%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=4ZJ7xnDJOacDzYXluSjtQsju1Cqvtc2kxuXzlYIw%2F0Y%3D&reserved=0>
will
see Rupert, Andy and the audience discuss all angles of this debate that
affects both humanity and the future of our planet. Register for a free
place at theiet.org/geoengineering
<https://eur03.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fevents.theiet.org%2Fevents%2Fgeoengineering-in-case-of-emergency-break-glass%2F&data=04%7C01%7CJaneNeufville%40theiet.org%7C008f2d23054c4316361808d936242917%7C37f807baaa3943e38018abddb6f7781c%7C0%7C0%7C637600351192302564%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C1000&sdata=4ZJ7xnDJOacDzYXluSjtQsju1Cqvtc2kxuXzlYIw%2F0Y%3D&reserved=0>

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