https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3788661

Global Climate Governance in 3D: Mainstreaming Geoengineering within a
Unified Framework

Gabriel Weil

*Abstract*
The failure of conventional climate change mitigation to reduce
climate-related risks to tolerable levels has spurred interest in more
unconventional – and riskier – climate interventions. In the not-so-distant
future, ideas that currently sound like science fiction could become
reality: planes blasting particles into the sky to block the sun, vast
deserts covered with mirrors, algae sucking carbon into the depths of the
ocean. Scholars tend to lump these together in a fuzzy category called
“geoengineering,” setting them apart from conventional climate change
mitigation. But the characteristics of climate interventions vary across
three distinct dimensions, which the mitigation-geoengineering dichotomy
fails to capture. First, interventions operate via different mechanisms,
such as altering the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases or
changing the fraction of incoming solar radiation absorbed by the earth.
Second, the characteristic duration of interventions varies from days to
millennia. Third, interventions differ in terms of leverage — the scale of
climate impact achievable with a fixed investment of resources. This
article argues that global climate governance would be best served by a
unified approach that addresses all climate interventions based on these
three dimensions. In such a unified framework, influence over multilateral
decisions to deploy risky, high-leverage interventions could be used as an
incentive to induce greater national investment in safer, more expensive
decarbonization efforts. Scientific uncertainty should not deter early
action on geoengineering governance; it should be viewed as an opportunity
to lock in agreement on neutral principles while national governments
remain behind a partial veil of ignorance regarding their interests.

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