https://acp.copernicus.org/preprints/acp-2021-1032/

(Discussion open for comments on acp page until 15 Feb 2022)

Assessing the consequences of including aerosol absorption in potential
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Climate Intervention Strategies

Jim Haywood, Andy Jones, Ben Johnson, and William McFarlane Smith

Abstract.

Theoretical Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention (SAI) strategies model the
deliberate injection of aerosols or their precursors into the stratosphere
thereby reflecting incident sunlight back to space and counterbalancing a
fraction of the warming due to increased concentrations of greenhouse
gases. This cooling mechanism is known to be relatively robust through
analogues from explosive volcanic eruptions which have been documented to
cool the climate of the Earth. However, a practical difficulty of SAI
strategies is how to deliver the injection high enough to ensure dispersal
of the aerosol within the stratosphere on a global scale. Recently, it has
been suggested that including a small amount of absorbing material in a
dedicated 10-day intensive deployment might enable aerosols or precursor
gases to be injected at significantly lower, more technologically-feasible
altitudes. The material then absorbs sunlight causing a localised heating
and ‘lofting’ of the particles, enabling them to penetrate into the
stratosphere. Such self-lofting has recently been observed following the
intensive wildfires in 2019–2020 in south east Australia, where the
resulting absorbing aerosol penetrated into the stratosphere and was
monitored by satellite instrumentation for many months subsequent to
emission. This study uses the fully coupled UKESM1 climate model
simulations performed for the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project
(GeoMIP) and new simulations where the aerosol optical properties have been
adjusted to include a moderate degree of absorption. The results indicate
that partially absorbing aerosols i) reduce the cooling efficiency per unit
mass of aerosol injected, ii) increase deficits in global precipitation
iii) delay the recovery of the stratospheric ozone hole, iv) disrupt the
Quasi Biennial Oscillation when global mean temperatures are reduced by as
little as 0.1 K, v) enhance the positive phase of the wintertime North
Atlantic Oscillation which is associated with floods in Northern Europe and
droughts in Southern Europe. While these results are dependent upon the
exact details of the injection strategies and our simulations use ten times
the ratio of black carbon to sulfate that is considered in the recent
intensive deployment studies, they demonstrate some of the potential
pitfalls of injecting an absorbing aerosol into the stratosphere to combat
the global warming problem.

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