https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0921800922000830

Anticipating moral hazard undermines climate mitigation in an experimental
geoengineering game

Talbot M. Andrews, Andrew W. Delton, Reuben Kline

Abstract

Geoengineering
<https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/earth-and-planetary-sciences/geoengineering>
is
sometimes touted as a partial solution to climate change but will only be
successful in conjunction with other mitigation strategies. This creates a
potential for a “moral hazard”: If people think geoengineering alone will
mitigate climate change, they may become overly optimistic and reduce
support for other necessary mitigation efforts. We test this in a series of
economic games where players in groups must prevent a simulated climate
disaster. One player, the “policymaker,” decides whether to implement
geoengineering. The rest are “citizens” who decide how much to contribute
to incremental mitigation efforts. We find that citizens contribute to
mitigation even when the policymaker uses geoengineering. Despite this,
policymakers expect that citizens will engage in moral hazard. As a
consequence, policymakers do not use geoengineering even though everyone
would be better off if they did so. Anticipating moral hazard undermines
mitigation even though moral hazard itself does not.

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