https://epic.awi.de/id/eprint/55813/

Global And Arctic Climate Engineering: Numerical Model Studies

 Ernest Agyemang-Oko

*Abstract*
Climate engineering is an intentional large-scale intervention in the
Earth’s climate system to counteract the anthropogenic warming. It has been
proposed and recently gained attention as a potential option for tackling
global warming. To evaluate the feasibility and impacts of geoengineering,
we performed idealized climate simulations using solar geoengineering
scheme by artificially reducing the incoming solar radiation at the top of
the atmosphere (TOA) either globally or over the polar regions. Four
simulations were conducted, i.e. pre-industrial control simulation, global
warming simulation with 4xCO2, global uniform solar reduction and reduction
of solar radiation regionally over both poles. Our results indicate that
the 4xCO2 induced a 6.7 K global mean surface temperature raise, amplified
over both poles primarily during the hemisphere winter. Besides, the
warming also cause intensification and poleward shift of the global
precipitation pattern. A 4.2% globally uniform solar reduction can largely
compensate the global mean warming caused by 4xCO2. We find that solar
reduction is efficient to reduce the warming at the region where the
background sunshine is strong, such as the low-latitude summer warming.
However, the CO2 induced warming over high latitudes during winter are less
sensitive to solar reduction. The solar reduction leads to more residual
warming over land than over the ocean. Therefore, it could result in
hemisphere asymmetric residual warming due to the hemisphere asymmetric
land-sea distribution. This will eventually cause northward shift of the
Intertropical Convergence Zone and the associated low-latitude
precipitation pattern. Moreover, we notice that solar reduction could lead
to an overall weakening of the global hydrological cycle, suggesting that
over reduction of solar radiation may result in large-scale drought. The
CO2 forcing introduces more warming over the poles than low-latitudes. The
ice sheets around both poles are critical for further sea level rise. Our
experiments indicate that 16% solar reduction over both poles (higher than
60 ◦N/S) is able to restore the summer temperature and sea ice extent.
However, such polar regional geoengineering leads to stronger and more
frequent high-latitude storms. Our simulation results show that Solar
Radiation Management is an effective way to offset global mean temperature
raise. Nevertheless, climate engineering by reducing insolation at the TOA,
either globally or regionally, have strong impact on the hydrological cycle
and the regional climate. In spite of the fact that our climate simulations
are being highly idealised, these simulations can provide useful
information about the climate respond to scenarios with more realistic GHG
forcing.

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