https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2022GL098773

The overlooked role of the stratosphere under a solar constant reduction

Ewa M. Bednarz,Daniele Visioni,Antara Banerjee,Peter Braesicke,Ben
Kravitz,Douglas G. MacMartin

Abstract

Modelling experiments reducing surface temperatures via an idealized
reduction of the solar constant have often been used as analogues for
stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), thereby implicitly assuming that
solar dimming captures the essential physical mechanism through which SAI
influences surface climate. While the omission of some important processes
that otherwise operate under SAI was identified before, here we demonstrate
that the imposed reduction in the incoming solar radiation also induces a
different stratospheric dynamical response, manifested through a weakening
of the polar vortex, that propagates from the upper stratosphere down to
the troposphere. The coupled stratospheric-tropospheric response exerts a
previously overlooked first-order influence on southern hemispheric surface
climate in the solar dimming experiments, including on the position of the
tropospheric jet and Hadley Circulation and thus, ultimately, precipitation
patterns. This perturbation, opposite to that expected under SAI,
highlights the need for caution when attributing responses in idealised
experiments.


Key Points


   -

   Solar dimming induces previously overlooked stratospheric dynamical
   response
   -

   The coupled stratospheric-tropospheric response exerts a first-order
   influence on the SH surface climate in the solar dimming experiments
   -

   The results emphasize the importance of the stratosphere, as well as the
   troposphere, as an active contributor to the SH climate change

Plain Language Summary

Adverse impacts of climate change have pushed research on temperature
reduction strategies like geoengineering into the spotlight. Possible
impacts of geoengineering have long been assessed using ‘solar dimming’
climate model experiments, which reduce surface temperatures via an
idealized reduction of the incoming solar radiation as an analogue for
injecting sulfate aerosols into the lower stratosphere (Stratospheric
Aerosol Injection, SAI).

We demonstrate that solar dimming induces previously overlooked circulation
changes in the stratosphere that propagate down to the troposphere and
exert a first-order influence on the Southern Hemisphere surface climate.
This allows an erroneous attribution of the simulated surface responses to
the impacts of SAI geoengineering. The results also emphasize the
importance of the stratosphere as an active contributor to the SH
near-surface climate change, and have implications for paleoclimate studies.

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