https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022GL098773

The Overlooked Role of the Stratosphere Under a Solar Constant Reduction

Ewa M. Bednarz, Daniele Visioni, Antara Banerjee, Peter Braesicke, Ben
Kravitz, Douglas G. MacMartin

Abstract

Modeling experiments reducing surface temperatures via an idealized
reduction of the solar constant have often been used as analogs for
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), thereby implicitly assuming that
solar dimming captures the essential physical mechanism through which SAI
influences surface climate. While the omission of some important processes
that otherwise operate under SAI was identified before, here we demonstrate
that the imposed reduction in the incoming solar radiation also induces a
different stratospheric dynamical response, manifested through a weakening
of the polar vortex, that propagates from the upper stratosphere down to
the troposphere. The coupled stratospheric-tropospheric response exerts a
previously overlooked first-order influence on southern hemispheric surface
climate in the solar dimming experiments, including on the position of the
tropospheric jet and Hadley Circulation and thus, ultimately, precipitation
patterns. This perturbation, opposite to that expected under SAI,
highlights the need for caution when attributing responses in idealized
experiments.

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