phys.org /news/2022-09-tonga-volcano-blast-unusual-earth.html
<https://phys.org/news/2022-09-tonga-volcano-blast-unusual-earth.html> Tonga
volcano blast was unusual, could even warm the Earth
------------------------------
<https://phys.org/archive/22-09-2022/>

September 22, 2022

by MADDIE BURAKOFF
[image: Tonga volcano blast was unusual, could even warm the Earth] In this
photo provided by New Zealand's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the
Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano erupts near Tonga in the South Pacific
Ocean on Jan. 14, 2015. The volcano shot millions of tons of water vapor
high up into the atmosphere according to a study published Thursday, Sept.
22, 2022, in the journal Science. Researchers estimate the event raised the
amount of water in the stratosphere - the second layer of the atmosphere,
above the range where humans live and breathe - by around 5%. Credit: AP
Photo/New Zealand's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade

When an undersea volcano erupted in Tonga in January, its watery blast was
huge and unusual—and scientists are still trying to understand its impacts.

The volcano, known as Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai, shot millions of tons of
water vapor high up into the atmosphere, according to a study published
Thursday in the journal *Science*.

The researchers estimate the eruption <https://phys.org/tags/eruption/>
raised the amount of water in the stratosphere—the second layer of the
atmosphere, above the range where humans live and breathe—by around 5%.

Now, scientists are trying to figure out how all that water could affect
the atmosphere, and whether it might warm Earth's surface over the next few
years.

"This was a once-in-a-lifetime event," said lead author Holger Voemel, a
scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado.

Big eruptions usually cool the planet. Most volcanoes send up large amounts
of sulfur, which blocks the sun's rays, explained Matthew Toohey, a climate
researcher at the University of Saskatchewan who was not involved in the
study.

The Tongan blast was much soggier: The eruption started under the ocean, so
it shot up a plume with much more water than usual. And since water vapor
acts as a heat-trapping greenhouse gas, the eruption will probably raise
temperatures instead of lowering them, Toohey said.

It's unclear just how much warming could be in store.

Karen Rosenlof, a climate scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration who was not involved with the study, said she expects the
effects to be minimal and temporary.
[image: Tonga volcano blast was unusual, could even warm the Earth] This
satellite image made by the Japanese weather satellite Himawari-8 shows the
eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai undersea volcano at the Pacific
nation of Tonga on Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022. The volcano shot millions of
tons of water vapor high up into the atmosphere according to a study
published Thursday, Sept. 22, 2022, in the journal Science. Researchers
estimate the event raised the amount of water in the stratosphere - the
second layer of the atmosphere, above the range where humans live and
breathe - by around 5%. Credit: Japan Meteorology Agency via AP

"This amount of increase might warm the surface a small amount for a short
amount of time," Rosenlof said in an email.

The water vapor will stick around the upper atmosphere
<https://phys.org/tags/upper+atmosphere/> for a few years before making its
way into the lower atmosphere, Toohey said. In the meantime, the extra water
<https://phys.org/tags/water/> might also speed up ozone loss in the
atmosphere, Rosenlof added.

But it's hard for scientists to say for sure, because they've never seen an
eruption like this one.

The stratosphere stretches from around 7.5 miles to 31 miles (12 km to 50
km) above Earth and is usually very dry, Voemel explained.

Voemel's team estimated the volcano's plume using a network of instruments
suspended from weather balloons. Usually, these tools can't even measure water
levels <https://phys.org/tags/water+levels/> in the stratosphere because
the amounts are so low, Voemel said.

Another research group monitored the blast using an instrument on a NASA
satellite. In their study <https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099381>, published
earlier this summer, they estimated the eruption to be even bigger, adding
around 150 million metric tons of water vapor
<https://phys.org/tags/water+vapor/> to the stratosphere—three times as
much as Voemel's study found.

Voemel acknowledged that the satellite imaging might have observed parts of
the plume that the balloon instruments couldn't catch, making its estimate
higher.

Either way, he said, the Tongan blast was unlike anything seen in recent
history, and studying its aftermath may hold new insights into our
atmosphere <https://phys.org/tags/atmosphere/>.
------------------------------

Explore further
Water in atmosphere from Tonga eruption may weaken ozone layer
<https://phys.org/news/2022-08-atmosphere-tonga-eruption-weaken-ozone.html>
------------------------------
*More information:* Holger Vömel et al, Water vapor injection into the
stratosphere by Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai, *Science* (2022). DOI:
10.1126/science.abq2299 <https://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abq2299>

L. Millán et al, The Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha'apai Hydration of the
Stratosphere, *Geophysical Research Letters* (2022). DOI:
10.1029/2022GL099381 <https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099381>
*Journal information:* Geophysical Research Letters
<https://phys.org/journals/geophysical-research-letters/>
<http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/index.shtml>
<http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/index.shtml>, Science
<https://phys.org/journals/science/> <http://www.sciencemag.org/>
<http://www.sciencemag.org/>

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