http://www.eng.cam.ac.uk/news/undergraduate-project-can-ice-volcano-help-regenerate-sea-ice?s=03

Undergraduate project: Can an ‘ice volcano’ help to regenerate sea ice?
Katy Cartlidge.
For her fourth year project, undergraduate Katy Cartlidge has evaluated
whether a proposal known as the ‘ice volcano’ has the means to restore
Arctic sea ice. Katy used theoretical modelling and experimental analysis
to assess the feasibility and sensitivity of an ‘ice volcano’ to its
environment, at a time when Arctic summer sea ice is declining at an
alarming rate due to climate change.
A significant benefit of the ‘ice volcano’ is that it merely augments a
natural activity and does not introduce any unfamiliar chemicals or
processes into the environment.
Student Katy Cartlidge
The project titled Ice Thickening – Climate Repair investigated the use of
the ‘ice volcano’ method to increase Arctic sea ice production in the
winter. This method involves pumping seawater over a floating conical buoy,
where it then freezes in the cold Arctic atmosphere to generate a growing
cone of ice. A slotted pipe allows water to be pumped higher as the ice
builds up. Once a height of three metres has been achieved, scientists say
the newly-formed ice is likely to survive a summer melting season and
become valuable ‘multi-year ice’, surviving at least two summers’ melt.1
This is a desirable outcome: thicker, stronger multi-year ice that is
present in the summer, providing its benefits year-round.

Arctic sea ice has numerous benefits, such as: inhibiting methane release
from permafrost melt; increasing the proportion of incoming solar radiation
that is reflected; maintaining global currents that mediate weather
patterns in the Northern hemisphere; and providing a habitat for polar
wildlife. Scientists say that if current rates of ice decline are
sustained, an ice-less summer will be seen in the Arctic within the next
decade.

“A significant benefit of the ‘ice volcano’, in comparison to other
proposed geoengineering projects, is that it merely augments a natural
activity and does not introduce any unfamiliar chemicals or processes into
the environment," said Katy.

Katy developed a simplified, two-dimensional model to predict the behaviour
of an ‘ice volcano’ for fresh water at its freezing temperature and also
fresh water at above its freezing temperature. This was then followed by
experimental analysis, using a narrow channel that maps onto the
two-dimensional model. The experiments were conducted in a walk-in freezer
with a temperature of –18°C. Water, of varying temperatures and salinities
(fresh water and water at the salinity of Arctic seawater), was pumped
through the channel over a layer of cold ‘original ice’ and allowed to
freeze or cause melting. The resulting change in ice thickness was then
calculated.



Diagram of an 'ice volcano'. Seawater is pumped from below onto a floating
buoy, where it then freezes into a conical ‘volcano’. A slotted pipe allows
water to be pumped higher as the ice builds up. The vertical scale is
exaggerated. Credit: Katy Cartlidge.

Both theoretically and experimentally, the results were promising for water
at its freezing temperature: ice formed readily and uniformly all along the
channel, indicating an ‘ice volcano’ could be successful and uniform.
Experimental ice build-up exceeded theoretical predictions for both fresh
and salt water, potentially due to heat fluxes from the air that were
neglected in the model.

However, results were less encouraging for water entering the channel above
its freezing temperature. It was found that this results in a substantial
loss of ice near the inlet, even for water just a few degrees above its
freezing temperature, although ice is still created further down the
channel. In the context of the ‘ice volcano’, this insinuates that the
region of ice surrounding the pipe could be completely eroded within a few
hours, creating an ‘ice doughnut’, unless the water is within a very narrow
margin of its freezing temperature.

“This narrow range for acceptable water temperature poses operability
issues,” said Katy. “At certain temperatures, an ‘ice volcano’ could even
melt more ice than it creates, making it entirely unfeasible and
counterproductive.”



Presenting a situation where water enters above the melting temperature of
ice. Ice is eroded around the pipe, forming a doughnut shape. Credit: Katy
Cartlidge.

The experimental analysis was also extended to salt water, which had some
notable differences, including a melting temperature higher than the
freezing temperature of the salt water itself. The presence of salt alters
the thermal properties of the water.

“This has a beneficial effect for the ice volcano, because if the ice melts
at a warmer temperature than the water freezes, the water may be above its
freezing temperature and still not melt the ice, increasing the range of
operable temperatures,” said Katy. “However, if the salt water were warm
enough, it would still cause the disastrous ice losses described above and
render the ice volcano ineffective.”

Katy’s recommendations for further work on this topic include:

The development of a theoretical model for a three-dimensional cone and
also for salt water.
Improving the accuracy of the model over long timescales, by accounting for
convection, radiation and evaporation from the water to the atmosphere and
removing the semi-infinite ice assumption.
Investigating ripple and/or rivulet formation in detail and determining
their impact on ice build-up.
Continuing the experimental analysis with salt water, ideally using a cone
and over longer timescales.
Considering the magnitude and source of the power requirements for an ‘ice
volcano’.
Exploring feasible sea and air temperatures for ‘ice volcanoes’ and linking
this to Arctic weather patterns to suggest how, where and when they might
be implemented.
Beginning detailed design for an ‘ice volcano’, and then building and
testing a prototype in Arctic conditions.
Katy said: “When working in such a unique and fragile environment as the
Arctic, it is necessary to take extreme care. Extensive trials in Arctic
conditions, such as those that I carried out in the walk-in freezer, would
be undertaken before contemplating any tests in the Arctic itself. The
potential impact on ecosystems, climate and wildlife would be carefully
evaluated at each stage, the formal approval process including ethics and
stakeholder engagement for even small-scale field work would be exhaustive,
and the experiments would be halted if unforeseen negative effects were
observed.”

Katy is supervised by Dr Shaun Fitzgerald, Teaching Fellow in Engineering
and Director of Research at the Centre for Climate Repair at Cambridge.

About the Centre for Climate Repair at Cambridge
The Centre for Climate Repair at Cambridge is working in affiliation with
Cambridge Zero at the University of Cambridge to safeguard our planet from
the disastrous effects of global warming.

The Centre’s mission is threefold: to reduce CO2 emissions; remove excess
CO2 from the atmosphere; and refreeze the Arctic.

1 Peter Wadhams. Ice in the Ocean. Gordon and Breach Science Publishers,
London, 2000.

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