https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fd

This ERL paper demonstrating the fundamental difference between Fossil Fuel
emissions and LULCC was published some months back, but I am not sure it
was posted here.

*Key message:* FF emissions and LULCC are fundamentally different. Hence,
in terms of climate benefits, offsetting FF emissions with afforestation is
scientifically flawed.

This is textbook stuff but good to demonstrate the concept using a
comprehensive Earth system model.

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fd


*Contrasting climate and carbon-cycle consequences of fossil-fueluse versus
deforestation disturbance*

*Abstract*
Carbon dioxide emissions from deforestation disturbance (e.g.
clear-cutting, forest fires) are in the same units as carbon dioxide
emissions from fossil fuels. However, if the forest is allowed to
regrow, there is a large difference between the climate effects of that
forest disturbance and the climate effects of fossil CO2. In this study,
using a set of idealized global climate-carbon model simulations with equal
amounts of CO2 emissions, we show that on century to millennial timescales
the response of the climate system to fossil-fuel burning versus
deforestation disturbance are vastly different. We performed two 1000-year
simulations where we added abrupt emissions of about 600 PgC to the
preindustrial state as a consequence of either fossil fuel use or
deforestation disturbance with vegetation regrowth. In the fossil fuel
simulations, after 1000 years, about 20% of the initial atmospheric CO2
concentration perturbation remains in the atmosphere and the climate is
about 1 ◦C warmer compared to the preindustrial state. In contrast, in the
case of deforestation with regrowth, after 1000 years, atmospheric CO2
concentration returns close to preindustrial values, because deforested
land will typically recover its carbon over the decades and centuries in
the absence of further human intervention. These results highlight the
differences in the degree of long-term commitment associated with fossil
fuel versus deforestation emissions.


-- 
With Best Wishes,

-------------------------------------------------------------------
G. Bala
Professor
Center for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
Indian Institute of Science
Bangalore - 560 012
India

Tel: +91 80 2293 3428; +91 80 2293 2505
Fax: +91 80 2360 0865; +91 80 2293 3425
Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
Google Scholar <https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=eurjQPwAAAAJ>
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