https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2022EF003288

Mengying Zhao,Long Cao
First published: 11 November 2022
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003288

Abstract
Solar radiation modification (SRM) is a proposed method to cool the Earth
by intentionally perturbing the Earth's energy balance. One concern about
the effect of SRM is disparities in the regional climate response. In this
study, we use the Community Earth System Model (CESM1.2) to analyze the
regional response of land hydrology and terrestrial carbon uptake to
different amounts of SRM. The SRM is implemented by a uniform increase in
volcanic-size sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere under a doubling of
atmospheric CO2. Our results show that different amounts of SRM could
either moderate or exacerbate CO2-induced changes in land hydrology
including precipitation, precipitation minus evapotranspiration, and soil
moisture (SM), but the effect varies widely across regions and specific
variables. An “optimal” amount of SRM that moderates land hydrology changes
for one region might exacerbate changes for other regions (or vice versa).
Also, our study shows that for quite a few regions, partial SRM moderates
CO2-induced change in precipitation minus evaporation but exacerbates
changes in CO2-induced SM. The response of terrestrial Net primary
productivity (NPP) to different amounts of SRM shows large regional
disparities, depending on whether temperature or water availability
constrains NPP more. Our study also shows that the effect of CO2
physiological forcing plays a key role in regulating land hydrology
response to SRM, especially at the regional scale.

Key Points
We use the Community Earth System Model model to analyze how different
amounts of solar radiation modification (SRM) affect regional climate

Land hydrology response depends on the amount of SRM, the region, and the
specific variables considered

The response of land productivity to different amounts of SRM is regionally
dependent

Plain Language Summary
To reduce anthropogenic global warming, different solar radiation
modification (SRM) approaches have been proposed. One main concern about
the climate effect of SRM is the uneven regional climate response. We use a
climate model to analyze how stratospheric aerosol increase would affect
regional climate. Our focus is on regional land hydrology (including
precipitation, precipitation minus evapotranspiration, and soil moisture
[SM]) and carbon cycle response to different intensities of stratospheric
aerosol increase. Our results demonstrate that different intensities of
aerosol increase would induce strong regional inequalities in reducing the
CO2-induced anomaly of specific quantities. A certain intensity of SRM that
reduces the CO2-induced anomaly of land hydrology for one region might
increase the anomaly for other regions. In some regions, SRM reduces the
CO2-induced anomaly in precipitation minus evapotranspiration but increases
the CO2-induced anomaly in SM. In addition, changes in vegetation
productivity in response to different intensities of SRM show large
regional disparities, depending on whether temperature or water
availability is the major limiting factor for vegetation growth.

Source: Earth's futures

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