https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-13264-3_9

Authors
Alexander Proelss & Robert C. Steenkamp

15 November 2022

Abstract
Climate change arguably constitutes one of the greatest risks to the
long-term health of the world’s environment. In 2015, the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) highlighted that the Earth’s climate system
has consistently been warming since the 1950s and that a “large fraction of
anthropogenic climate change resulting from CO2 emissions is irreversible
on a multi-century to millennial time scale, except in the case of a large
net removal of CO2 from the atmosphere over a sustained period”. Initial
responses to climate change revolved around States attempting to reduce,
rather than remove, greenhouse gas emissions. However, as the global
economy expands, greenhouse gas emissions have continued to rise and
cooperative arrangements aimed at reducing emissions have had limited, if
any, impact. If recent predictions are to be believed, the remaining
“carbon budget” needed to prevent average global temperatures from
increasing by more than 1.5 °C may be exhausted by 2030. Climate Analytics
estimates that the current Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) made
by States under the Paris Agreement indicate that average global
temperatures will rise by 2.8 °C by 2100—almost double the stipulated
efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial
levels mentioned in Article 2(1)(a) of the Paris Agreement. The recent IPCC
Special Report on 1.5 °C Global Warming concludes that without “increased
and urgent mitigation ambition in the coming years, leading to a sharp
decline in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, global warming will [cause]
irreversible loss of the most fragile ecosystems and crisis after crisis
for the most vulnerable people and societies”.

Source: SpringerLink

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