*https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/12/24/1066041/a-startup-says-its-begun-releasing-particles-into-the-atmosphere-in-an-effort-to-tweak-the-climate/
<https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/12/24/1066041/a-startup-says-its-begun-releasing-particles-into-the-atmosphere-in-an-effort-to-tweak-the-climate/>*


*Make Sunsets is already attempting to earn revenue for geoengineering, a
move likely to provoke widespread criticism.*


*By James Temple*


*December 24, 2022*


A startup claims it has launched weather balloons that may have released
reflective sulfur particles in the stratosphere, potentially crossing a
controversial barrier in the field of solar geoengineering.


That refers to deliberate efforts to manipulate the climate by reflecting
more sunlight back into space, mimicking a natural process that occurs in
the aftermath of large volcanic eruptions. In theory, spraying sulfur and
similar particles in sufficient quantities could potentially ease global
warming.


It’s not technically difficult to release such compounds in the
stratosphere. But scientists have mostly refrained from carrying out even
small-scale outdoor experiments (though not entirely)
https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/08/09/615/what-is-geoengineering-and-why-should-you-care-climate-change-harvard/.
And it’s not clear that any have yet injected materials into that specific
layer of the atmosphere in the context of geoengineering-related research.


That’s in part because it’s highly controversial, as little is known about
the real-world effect of such deliberate interventions at large scales,
including the potential for dangerous side-effects, uneven impacts across
different regions and resulting geopolitical conflicts.


Some researchers who have long studied the technology are deeply troubled
that the company, Make Sunsets, appears to have moved forward with launches
from a site in Mexico, without any public engagement or scientific
scrutiny. It’s already attempting to sell “cooling credits” for future
balloon flights that could carry larger payloads.


Several researchers MIT Technology Review spoke with condemned the effort
to commercialize geoengineering at this early stage. Some investors and
potential customers who have reviewed the company’s proposals stress that
it’s not a serious scientific effort or a credible business, arguing it’s
more of an attention grab designed to stir up controversy in the field.


Luke Iseman, the co-founder and CEO of Make Sunsets, acknowledges the
effort is part entrepreneurial and part provocation, an act of
geoengineering activism.


He hopes that by moving ahead in the controversial space, the startup will
help drive the public debate and push forward a scientific field that has
faced great difficulty (
https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/03/31/1021479/harvard-geoengineering-balloon-experiment-sweden-suspended-climate-change/
) moving ahead with small-scale field experiments amid criticism.


“We joke slash not joke that this is partly a company and partly a cult,”
he says.


Iseman, previously a director of hardware at Y Combinator, says he expects
to be pilloried by both geoengineering critics and researchers in the field
for taking such a step, and recognizes that “making me look like the Bond
villain is going to be helpful to certain groups.” But he says climate
change is such a grave threat, and that the world has moved so slowly to
address the underlying problem, that more radical interventions are now
required.


“It's morally wrong, in my opinion, for us not to be doing this — and to do
this as quickly and safely as we can,” he says.


*Wildly premature*

But dedicated experts in the field think such efforts are wildly premature
and could have the opposite effect from what Iseman expects.


“The current state of science is not good enough … to either reject, or to
accept, let alone implement” solar geoengineering, wrote Janos Pasztor,
executive director of the Carnegie Climate Governance Initiative (
https://www.c2g2.net/c2g-mission/), which is calling for oversight of
geoengineering and other climate-altering technologies, whether by
governments, international accords or scientific bodies, in an email. “To
go ahead with implementation at this stage is a very bad idea,” he added,
comparing it to Chinese scientist He Jiankui’s decision to use CRISPR to
edit the DNA of embryos while the scientific community was still debating
the safety and ethics of such a step.


Shuchi Talati, a scholar-in-residence at American University who is forming
a nonprofit focused on solar geoengineering governance and justice, says
Make Sunset’s actions could set back the scientific field, reducing
funding, dampening government support for trusted research and accelerating
calls to restrict studies (
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/01/26/1044226/we-cant-afford-to-stop-solar-geoengineering-research/
).


The company’s behavior plays into long-held fears that a “rogue” actor with
no particular knowledge of atmospheric science or the technology could
unilaterally choose to geoengineer the climate, without any kind of
consensus around whether it’s OK to do so — or what the appropriate global
average temperature should be. That’s because it’s relatively cheap and
technically simple to do, at least in a crude way.


David Victor, a political scientist at the University of California San
Diego, warned of such a scenario more than a decade ago, noting that a
“Greenfinger, self-appointed protector of the planet … could force a lot of
geoengineering on his own,” invoking the classic Goldfinger character from
a 1964 James Bond movie, best remembered for murdering a woman by painting
her gold.


Some observers were quick to draw parallels between Make Sunsets and a
decade-old incident (
https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/2019/5/24/18273198/climate-change-russ-george-unilateral-geoengineering)
in which an American entrepreneur (
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/oct/15/pacific-iron-fertilisation-geoengineering)
reportedly poured a hundreds tons of iron sulfate into the ocean, in an
effort to spawn a plankton bloom that could aid salmon populations and suck
down carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Critics say it violated
international restrictions on what’s known as iron fertilization, which
were in part inspired by a growing number of commercial proposals to sell
carbon credits for such work, and argue it subsequently stunted research
efforts in field.


Pasztor and others stressed Make Sunset’s efforts underscore the urgent
need to establish broad-based oversight and clear rules to guide
responsible research in geoengineering, and help determine whether or under
what conditions there should be a social license to move forward with
experiments or beyond. As MIT Technology Review first reported (
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/07/01/1055324/the-us-government-is-developing-a-solar-geoengineering-research-plan/),
the Biden administration is developing a federal research plan that would
guide how scientists proceed with geoengineering studies.


*Balloon launches*

By Iseman’s own description, the first two balloon launches were very
rudimentary. He says they occurred in April somewhere in the Baja
peninsula, months before Make Sunsets was incorporated in October. Iseman
says he pumped a few grams of sulfur dioxide into weather balloons and
added what he estimated would be the right amount of helium to carry them
into the stratosphere.


He expected they would burst under pressure at that altitude and release
the particles. But it’s not clear whether that happened, where the balloons
ended up, or what impact the particles had, as there was no monitoring
equipment on board the balloons. Iseman also acknowledges that they did not
seek any approvals from government authorities or scientific agencies, in
Mexico or otherwise, before the first two launches.


“This was firmly in science project territory, he says, adding: “Basically,
it was to confirm that I could do it.”


A 2018 white paper raised the possibility (
https://www.technologyreview.com/2019/02/13/103441/climate-activists-with-cheap-balloons-could-create-a-diy-geoengineering-nightmare/
) that an environmental, humanitarian or other group could use this simple
balloon approach to carry out a distributed, do-it-yourself geoengineering
scheme.


In future launches, Make Sunsets hopes to increase the sulfur payloads, add
telemetry equipment and other sensors, eventually move to reusable balloons
and publish data following the launches.


The company is already attempting to earn revenue from the cooling effects
of future flights. It is offering to sell $10 “cooling credits” on its
site, for releasing one gram of particles in the stratosphere — enough, it
asserts, to offset the warming effect of one ton of carbon for one year.


“What I want to do is create as much cooling as quickly as I responsibly
can, over the rest of my life, frankly,” Iseman says, adding later they
will deploy as much sulfur in 2023 as “we can get customers to pay us” for.


The company says it has raised $750,000 in funding from Boost VC and
Pioneer Fund, among others, and that its early investors have also been
purchasing cooling credits. The venture firms didn’t respond to inquiries
from MIT Technology Review before press time.


*'A terrible idea'*

Talati was highly critical of the company’s scientific claims and their
lack of public engagement.


She stresses that no one can credibly sell credits that purports to
represent such a specific per gram outcome, given vast uncertainty at this
stage of research.


“What they’re claiming to actually accomplish with such a credit is the
entirety of what’s uncertain right now about geoengineering,” she says.


She adds that it’s hypocritical to assert they’re acting on humanitarian
grounds, while moving ahead without meaningfully engaging with the public,
including those who could be affected by their actions.


“They’re violating the rights of communities to dictate their own future,”
she says.


David Keith, one of the world’s leading experts on solar geoengineering,
says that the amount of material in question—less than 10 grams of sulfur
per flight — doesn’t represent any real environmental dangers, as a
commercial flight can emit about one hundred grams per minute. Keith and
his colleagues at Harvard University have worked for years to move forward
on a small-scale stratospheric experiment known as SCoPEx, which has been
repeatedly delayed.


But he says he’s troubled by any effort to privatize core geoengineering
technologies, including patenting them or selling credits for the releases,
because “commercial development cannot produce the level of transparency
and trust the world needs to make sensible decisions about deployment,” as
he wrote (
https://keith.seas.harvard.edu/blog/why-i-am-proud-commercialize-direct-air-capture-while-i-oppose-any-commercial-work-solar)
in an earlier blog post.


Keith says a private company would have financial motives to oversell the
benefits, to downplay risks, and to continue selling its services even as
the planet cools beyond pre-industrial temperatures.


“Doing it as a startup is a terrible idea,” Keith says.


For its part, the company says it’s operating on the best modeling research
available today, will adjust its practices as it learns more and hopes to
collaborate with nations and experts to guide these efforts as it scales up.


“*We are convinced solar [geoengineeering] is the only feasible path to
staying below 2 ˚C, and we will work with the scientific community to
deploy this life-saving tool as safely and quickly as possible,” he said in
an email.*


But critics of the company stress that the time to engage with the public
and experts would have been before they began injecting material into the
stratosphere and trying to sell cooling credits—and that they’re likely to
face a icy reception from many of those parties now.


*Source: MIT Technology Review*

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