https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/23/163/2023/

*Authors*
John T. Fasullo <https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1216-892X> and Jadwiga H.
Richter

*5 January 2023 *

*https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-163-2023
<https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-163-2023>*

*Abstract*

Model dependence in simulated responses to *stratospheric aerosol
injection (SAI) is a major uncertainty surrounding the potential
implementation of this solar climate intervention strategy.* We identify
and aim to understand the drivers of large differences in the aerosol mass
latitudinal distributions between two recently produced climate model SAI
large ensembles using two models from the same modeling center despite
using similar climate targets and controller algorithms. Using a hierarchy
of recently produced simulations, we identify three main contributors to
the differences including (1) the rapid adjustment of clouds and rainfall
to elevated levels of carbon dioxide, (2) the low-frequency dynamical
responses in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, and (3) the
contrasts in future background forcing scenarios. Each uncertainty is
unlikely to be significantly narrowed over the likely timeframe of a
potential SAI deployment if a 1.5 ∘C target of global warming over
preindustrial conditions is to be met.

*Source: European Geosciences Union*

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