https://www.researchgate.net/publication/369034073_Part_II_Solar_Geoengineering_Modeling_to_Stop_Annual_Climate_Change


*Author*
Alec Feinberg

*March 2023*

*Abstract*
Time is short for mitigating climate change. It is estimated at the current
warming rate that a 1.5oC climate change may occur as early as 2039 to
2043. This is a short 16-20 years before we pass this suggested IPCC
threshold and Paris accord goal where it is anticipated that further
warming could cause severe climate issues. This paper extends prior
modeling focusing on annual goals. Solar geoengineering (SG) solutions have
three key advantages compared to the difficulty of carbon removal and
reduction (CRR): they produce fast results; have a 38% improved albedo
advantage compared to CRR, and it is something we all can participate in
brightening the earth with cool roofs, roads, and cars. Methods detailed
previously for SG space and earth area requirements have been an issue
primarily because of excessive goals and overestimations. This and prior
work provide the most efficient estimates. Rather than providing
overwhelming SG area goals for full climate change reversals, this paper
provides reflective annual area rate requirements to stop yearly climate
change increases. While this is a status quo solar geoengineering (SQSG)
approach, it yields area reductions that are about one-hundred times less
than trying to fully mitigate climate change. It creates opportunities for
future improvements both in SG and CRR. Unfortunately, SG to stop just a
yearly increase in global warming is highly challenging as result show. We
provide some ideas that should be helpful in earth AI drone methods,
stratosphere injection methods, and reflective particle space clusters. One
main issue is that policymakers and space agencies like NASA, ESP, CSP,
CHSP, and companies like SpaceX need to make a SG commitment. CRR methods
to date are finding great difficulties in producing mitigation results.
Therefore, policymakers should realize the cost down the road of a 1.5oC
temperature rise will be many factors higher than without SG.

*Source: ResearchGate*

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