https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-2855874/latest

*Authors*
Ernest Agyemang-Oko, Hu Yang, Xiaoxu Shi, Gerrit Lohmann

*8 May 2023 (Under Review)*

https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2855874/v1

Abstract

The potential climate impact of solar geoengineering is examined using
climate model simulations by artificially reducing the incoming solar
radiation at the top of the atmosphere. Climate scenario simulations
indicate that a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide (2xCO2) induces a
surface temperature rise which is amplified over the poles primarily during
the respective winter. The warming also causes intensification and poleward
shift of the global precipitation pattern. In our model, a 2.1% globally
uniform solar reduction can largely compensate the global mean warming
caused by a doubling of CO2. We find that solar shading is efficient to
restore the temperature at the region where the background sunshine is
strong, regionally at low-latitudes, seasonally during summer. Solar
shading would lead to an overall weakening of the global hydrological
cycle, resulting in a large-scale drought. A 3.6% solar reduction in the
tropics can largely reduce the tropical and global warming as well.
However, it reduces the precipitation at the central tropics, while
increase the precipitation over the monsoon region. Comparatively, a 14%
solar reduction over the poles can effectively prevent the polar summer
temperature increase and sea-ice retreat. However, caused by the increased
temperature gradient, polar solar shading increases the storm activity at
high-latitudes, especially during summer when the solar reduction reaches
its maximum amplitude. Our simulations show that solar shading could be an
effective way to stabilize the polar cryosphere. Nevertheless, it has a
strong impact on the hydrological cycle and provides a heterogenous
regional climate signal.

Climate Engineering

Global warming

Climate Model

Solar shading


Source: Research Square

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