Hi All
What a useful paper!
 I am a bit surprised that the instantaneous change is only 1 watt per square 
metre. The 20 bar grey scale at the bottom of the image below shows that we 
need at least three bars, 15% change, to detect the direction of a contrast 
gradient.  Ship track images often show much more than this. Is it because 
somebody has tweaked the gamma range or that we do not see ship tracks that 
often?  Maybe I misunderstand instantaneous.

[cid:[email protected]]


Stephen

From: [email protected] <[email protected]> On 
Behalf Of Geoengineering News
Sent: 25 May 2023 13:37
To: [email protected]
Subject: [geo] Detection of large-scale cloud microphysical changes and 
evidence for decreasing cloud brightness within a major shipping corridor after 
implementation of the International Maritime Organization 2020 fuel sulfur 
regulations (Preprint)

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https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-971/

Author
Michael Steven Diamond
Received: 11 May 2023 – Discussion started: 22 May 2023

Abstract. New regulations from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) 
limiting sulfur emissions from the shipping industry are expected to have large 
benefits in terms of public health but come with an undesired side effect: an 
acceleration of global warming as the climate-cooling effects of ship pollution 
on marine clouds is diminished. Previous work has found a substantial decrease 
in the detection of ship tracks in clouds after the IMO 2020 regulations went 
into effect but changes in large-scale cloud properties have been more 
equivocal. Using a statistical technique that estimates counterfactual fields 
of what large-scale cloud and radiative properties within an isolated shipping 
corridor in the southeastern Atlantic would have been in the absence of 
shipping, we confidently detect a reduction in the magnitude of cloud droplet 
effective radius decreases within the shipping corridor and find evidence for a 
reduction in the magnitude of cloud brightening as well. The instantaneous 
radiative forcing due to aerosol–cloud interactions from the IMO 2020 
regulations is estimated as O(1 W m-2) within the shipping corridor, lending 
credence to global estimates of O(0.1 W m-2). In addition to their geophysical 
significance, our results also provide independent evidence for general 
compliance with the IMO 2020 regulations.
How to cite. Diamond, M. S.: Detection of large-scale cloud microphysical 
changes and evidence for decreasing cloud brightness within a major shipping 
corridor after implementation of the International Maritime Organization 2020 
fuel sulfur regulations, EGUsphere [preprint], 
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-971, 2023.

Source: EGU Sphere
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