Adding sulfur to jet fuel might be another method to consider but it would
definitely not, as you note, be a "reversion to the status quo ante" and
therefore would take much more time and development to implement.

On Tue, Jun 27, 2023 at 5:30 PM Ron Baiman <[email protected]> wrote:

> Thank you Lester!  My understanding is that tropospheric aerosols
> generally fall out pretty quickly, especially when it rains, so that if
> emitted far from land not much would still be in the atmosphere even taking
> into account windflow (though I defer to others who know more about this
> than I do!). Regarding the crews on the ships, if this has been a
> significant occupational health problem, perhaps there are other specific
> measures that can be taken with regard to smokestacks, or masks when near
> the source etc.? The question it seems to me (as is often the case in these
> risk- risk comparisons) is what are the harms of returning to a "partial
> status quo ante" versus significant additional global warming (per my
> initial post modelers are working on getting better estimates of how much
> as we speak)?  Of course if the status quo ante posed a significant health
> risk to the crews on the ships, this would have to be addressed as well.
> Best,
> Ron
>
> On Tue, Jun 27, 2023 at 5:06 PM Lester Wyborny <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Since ships emit their pollutants, such as sulphate particles, in the
>> lower atmosphere, it would create a greater breathing problem for people
>> who would be exposed to the high sulfate and other particulate matter
>> emissions from these ships.  Although you are suggesting that these
>> particles would be emitted over the open ocean, they would still be
>> transported to land areas via atmospheric weather patterns where it would
>> create breathing and other associated health issues.  This is why the ships
>> were forced to reduce their sulfur levels.
>>
>> A better idea would be to dose jet fuel with sulfur-containing chemicals
>> when the jets are operating at high altitudes to emit the sulfate particles
>> in the upper atmosphere which is less likely to expose the human population
>> and also remain there for longer periods.  The concern with this idea is
>> that changes in the fuels used by passenger airlines creates a concern
>> about the potential impact on their safe operation, and agreeing to such a
>> change would take many years to test out and implement.  It has been a
>> while since I reviewed the data on this, but the jet fuel typically
>> contains ~700 ppm sulfur.  Conversely ship bunker fuel, before the
>> standards forced these vessels to use lower sulfur fuel, contained ~3%, or
>> ~30,000 ppm sulfur, so a lot more sulfur/sulfate emissions.
>>
>> On Tue, Jun 27, 2023 at 1:07 PM Ron Baiman <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Dear Colleagues,
>>>
>>> A bunch of us (in forums and communications within the groups in the
>>> lists above) have been discussing a potential immediate practical step
>>> (that earlier has been raised by others) that may provide at least a
>>> modicum of cooling especially over the oceans: *a relaxation of the
>>> "bunker fuel" sulfur content regulations that just came into effect in 2020
>>> (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/01/shipping-fuel-regulation-to-cut-sulphur-levels-comes-into-force
>>> <https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/01/shipping-fuel-regulation-to-cut-sulphur-levels-comes-into-force>
>>> ) for inter-port "high seas" shipping. *The idea is that cargo ships
>>> and tankers would be able to use the old dirty sulfur laden fuel in the
>>> open ocean but switch to the cleaner fuel when they are near ports or human
>>> habitation. Apparently many ships have multiple fuel tanks so that they may
>>> be able to switch fuels in transit.
>>>
>>> *To be clear, we would stress that we fully support getting off of
>>> fossil fuels, but if fossil fuels are going to be used anyway it makes no
>>> sense not to at least benefit from fossil fuel burning maritime sulfur
>>> aerosol generation that is known to have a significant cooling effect *(how
>>> much is currently being re-estimated using the "termination shock" signal
>>> from the 2020 abrupt change in sulfur emissions due to the regulation).  
>>> *Looking
>>> forward this also points the way to including effective (and hopefully less
>>> harmful to human health) tropospheric aerosol generators in future non GHG
>>> emitting replacements for the bunker fuel* (see the HPAC direct climate
>>> cooling petition for some possible options:
>>> https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yHe2Fe6fU11odfcH-4GwdYDNTCk7uB-J/view?usp=sharing
>>> ).
>>>
>>> Any thoughts or data on this that might be helpful in working up (or
>>> not) this proposal would be appreciated.
>>>
>>> For example, the last sentence in this excerpt from a quote in this
>>> Guardian piece (
>>> https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/19/marine-heatwave-uk-irish-coasts-threat-oysters-fish-high-temperatures)
>>> shared in recent ocean heat spike thread:
>>> https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/19/marine-heatwave-uk-irish-coasts-threat-oysters-fish-high-temperature
>>> suggests that this may be a factor causing the recent unprededented spike
>>> in ocean heating:
>>>
>>> "Piers Forster, a professor of climate physics at the University of
>>> Leeds, said: “Both Met Office and NOAA analyses of sea-surface
>>> temperature show temperatures are at their highest ever level – and the
>>> average sea-surface temperature breached 21C for the first time in April.
>>> These high temperatures are mainly driven by unprecedented high rates of
>>> human-induced warming. Cleaning up sulphur from marine shipping fuels is
>>> probably adding to the greenhouse gas driven warming...""
>>>
>>> Best,
>>> Ron
>>>
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>>> .
>>>
>>

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