https://www.authorea.com/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.168748397.70100642


   - Authors
   -
   - Chenrui Diao,
   - Elizabeth A. Barnes,
   - James Wilson Hurrell


Peer review timeline
22 Jun 2023Submitted to *ESS Open Archive *
<https://www.authorea.com/inst/20904>
*23 Jun 2023Published in ESS Open Archive*

Abstract
Climate and Earth system models are important tools to assess the benefits
and risks of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) relative to those
associated with anthropogenic climate change. A “controller” algorithm has
been used to specify injection amounts of sulfur dioxide in SAI experiments
performed with the Community Earth System Model (CESM). The experiments are
designed to maintain specific temperature targets, such as limiting global
mean temperature to 1.5ºC above the pre-industrial level. However, the
influence of natural climate variability on the injection amount has not
been extensively documented. Our study reveals that more than 70% of the
year-to-year variation in the total injection amount (excluding the
long-term trend) in CESM SAI experiments is attributed to the El
Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). A simplified statistical model further
suggests that the intrinsic, lagged response of the controller to the
climate can increase the variance of global mean temperature in the model
simulations.
*Cite as: *Chenrui Diao, Elizabeth A. Barnes, James Wilson
Hurrell. Influence of ENSO on stratospheric sulfur dioxide injection in the
CESM2 ARISE-SAI-1.5 simulations. *Authorea.* June 23, 2023.
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.168748397.70100642/v1
<https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.168748397.70100642/v1>
*Source: AUTHOREA*

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