https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/23/7673/2023/

*Authors*
Colin Tully <[email protected]>, David Neubauer, Diego Villanueva
, and Ulrike Lohmann <[email protected]>
*13 July 2023*
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-7673-2023
*Abstract*

To date the climate intervention (CI) proposal of cirrus cloud thinning
(CCT) was only assessed in general circulation models (GCMs) using a
globally uniform distribution of artificial ice nucleating particles
(INPs). In this study, we made the first attempt using the ECHAM–HAM
(Hamburg Aerosol Module) GCM to simulate CCT using a fully prognostic
cirrus seeding aerosol species. Seeding particles were assumed to be made
of bismuth triiodide and were emitted into the atmosphere following
aircraft emissions of black carbon (soot). This new approach drastically
reduced the number concentration of seeding particles available as INPs in
our cirrus ice nucleation sub-model compared to the globally uniform
approach. As a result, we found that in order to achieve a significant
signal we needed to reduce the assumed radius of emitted seeding particles
by an order of magnitude to 0.01 µm and scale the mass emissions of seeding
particles by at least a factor of 100 or 1000. This latter scaling factor
led to a large net top-of-atmosphere (TOA) warming effect of 5.9 W m−2.
This warming effect was a clear response to overseeding with a large
concentration of seeding particles (>105 L−1 in the Northern Hemisphere)
that was most evident in the tropics. Due to this undesired effect, in a
second series of simulations we avoided seeding the tropics by restricting
emissions to only the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during winter. We also found
a small and insignificant effect, or overseeding, which for the extreme
case was reduced compared to the global aircraft emission scenario (2.2 W m
−2). Ice crystal radius anomalies were not what we expected, with the
largest reduction in size found for the case with a mass scaling factor of
10 instead of the extreme, ×1000, scenario. We attributed this peculiar
behavior to the differences in the competition between different seeding
particle concentrations and background particles. Finally, we also found
that seeding with such large concentrations increased the albedo effect of
mixed-phase clouds in the NH due to less efficient cloud droplet
consumption, consistent with previous findings from our model. Overall,
however, based on this study it is recommended to pause further modeling
efforts of CCT unless more observational-based evidence of
aerosol–ice-cloud interactions indicates favorable conditions for producing
the desired outcome of this CI proposal.
*Source: European Geosciences Union*

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