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https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023GL104314

*Authors*
Haruki Hirasawa, Dipti Hingmire, Hansi Singh, Philip J. Rasch, Peetak Mitra

*First published: 17 October 2023*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104314


*Abstract*
It has been proposed that increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) driven climate
tipping point risks may prompt consideration of solar radiation
modification (SRM) climate intervention to reduce those risks. Here, we
study marine cloud brightening (MCB) SRM interventions in three subtropical
oceanic regions using Community Earth System Model 2 experiments. We assess
the MCB impact on tipping element-related metrics to estimate the extent to
which such interventions might reduce tipping element risks. Both the
pattern and magnitude of the MCB cooling depend strongly on location of the
MCB intervention. We find the MCB cooling effect reduces most tipping
element impacts; though differences in MCB versus GHG climate response
patterns mean MCB is an imperfect remedy. However, MCB applied in certain
regions may exacerbate certain GHG tipping element impacts. Thus, it is
crucial to carefully consider the pattern of MCB interventions and their
teleconnected responses to avoid unintended climate effects.

*Key Points*
The magnitude and pattern of marine cloud brightening (MCB) climate impacts
depend strongly on the location of the intervention

We find MCB impacts that have qualitative similarities to prior work, but
there are discrepancies that suggest key inter-model uncertainties

MCB simulations generally show reduced tipping element risk overall, but
certain MCB patterns may exacerbate some tipping element changes

*Plain Language Summary*
Marine cloud brightening (MCB) is a proposal to spray sea salt particles
into clouds over oceans to increase the reflection of sunlight by the
clouds, thus cooling the surface. If greenhouse gas warming continues,
technologies like MCB might be considered to avoid climate change impacts
such as climate system tipping points. Here, we use state-of-the-art
climate model experiments to analyze the MCB impact on elements of the
climate system that may have tipping points. In this model, MCB reduces
risks for most tipping elements considered here, such as by reducing coral
reef heat stress and increasing Atlantic overturning circulation. However,
the impact of MCB depends on where it is applied and in some cases adds to
GHG impacts, meaning the location of MCB deployments must be carefully
considered to avoid unintended regional climate effects.

*Source: AGU*

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