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https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023EF003714

*Authors*
Michael Cassidy, Anders Sandberg, Lara Mani

*First published: 18 October 2023*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003714

*Abstract*
Volcano geoengineering is the practice of altering the state of volcanic
systems and/or volcanic eruptions to exploit them or mitigate their risk.
Although many in the field insist there is little that can be done to
mitigate the hazard, past examples of both intentional and inadvertent
volcano interventions demonstrate that it is technically feasible to reach
volcano plumbing systems or alter atmospheric processes following
eruptions. Furthermore, we suggest that economical, political, and
environmental pressures may make such interventions more common in the
future. If volcano geoengineering ever becomes a discipline, it will need
to overcome many safety and ethical concerns, including dealing with
uncertainty, deciding on philosophical approaches such as a
consequentialism or precautionary principle, justice and inequality,
military uses, cultural values, and communication. We highlight that while
volcano geoengineering has significant potential benefits, the risks and
uncertainties are too great to justify its use in the short term. Despite
this, because of the potential large benefits to society, we believe there
is a strong ethical case to support research into the efficacy and safety
of volcano geoengineering for its potential future use. We propose that
rigorous governance and regulation of any volcano geoengineering is
required to protect against potential risks, to enable potentially valuable
and publicly available research (e.g., quantification of efficacy and
safety), to ensure that any future policy must be co-created through
community engagement, and that volcano geoengineering should only be
considered as part of larger mitigation practices.

*Key Points*
Economic, political, and environmental pressures may make volcano
geoengineering more common in the future

Safety and ethical concerns include uncertainty, philosophical approaches,
justice and inequality, military uses, and cultural values

Effective governance protocols will be crucial for ensuring the safe and
ethical use of volcano geoengineering in the future

*Plain Language Summary*
This paper explores the possibility of volcano geoengineering, which
involves altering volcanic systems or their eruptions to exploit them or
minimize their large potential risk to human society. Volcano
geoengineering is a complex issue with many potential safety and ethical
concerns which are discussed. There have been past examples of volcano
geoengineering, some purposeful and some accidental, and we suggest that
economical, political, and environmental pressures may make volcano
geoengineering more common in the future. While there may be technical
feasibility for reaching volcano plumbing systems or altering atmospheric
processes following eruptions, there are many safety and ethical concerns
that must be addressed before any large-scale interventions can be
considered. A clear ethical distinction should be made between conducting
geoengineering and researching its efficacy and safety. While we do not
advocate for conducting volcano geoengineering in the short term, we do
layout a moral case for research in this field to investigate whether it
could ever be safe and effective. Clear governance protocols are mapped out
in this study and will be crucial for ensuring the safe and ethical use of
volcano geoengineering in the future.

*Source: AGU*

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