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*https://journals.ametsoc.org/configurable/content/journals$002fapme$002faop$002fJAMC-D-22-0154.1$002fJAMC-D-22-0154.1.xml
<https://journals.ametsoc.org/configurable/content/journals$002fapme$002faop$002fJAMC-D-22-0154.1$002fJAMC-D-22-0154.1.xml>*

*Authors*
Troy J. Zaremba, Robert M. Rauber, Larry Di Girolamo, Jesse R. Loveridge,
and Greg M. McFarquhar

*Online Publication: 25 Oct 2023*

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0154.1
*Abstract*
Recent studies from the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime Clouds:
the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE) demonstrated definitive radar evidence of
seeding signatures in winter orographic clouds during three intensive
operation periods (IOPs) where the background signal from natural
precipitation was weak and a radar signal attributable to seeding could be
identified as traceable seeding lines. Except for the three IOPs where
seeding was detected, background natural snowfall was present during
seeding operations and no clear seeding signatures were detected. This
paper provides a quantitative analysis to assess if orographic cloud
seeding effects are detectable using radar when background precipitation is
present. We show that a 5 dB change in equivalent reflectivity factor ( Z e
) is required to stand out against background natural Z e variability. This
analysis considers four radar wavelengths, a range of background ice water
contents (IWC) from 0.012 g m ⁻³ to 1.214 g m ⁻³ , and additional IWC
introduced by seeding ranging from 0.012 g m ⁻³ to 0.486 g m ⁻³ . The upper
limit values of seeded IWC are based on measurements of IWC from the
Nevzorov probe employed on the University of Wyoming King Air aircraft
during SNOWIE. This analysis implies that seeding effects will be
undetectable using radar within background snowfall unless the background
IWC is small, and the seeding effects are large. It therefore remains
uncertain whether seeding had no effect on cloud microstructure, and
therefore produced no signature on radar, or whether seeding did have an
effect, but that effect was undetectable against the background
reflectivity associated with naturally-produced precipitation.
*Source: AMS*

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