Thanks Hugh.  I knew this had been addressed previously and you saved me the trouble of locating the paper. Someone might want to spend a little time updating the figures you developed for artillery shells to take account of any advances over the last decade.  It seems unlikely that this would make them look any more feasible.  Ditto for aircraft.

Regards

Robert


On 05/11/2023 19:29, Hugh Hunt wrote:
Hi Robert,
We addressed this in our 2012 paper here, for SPICE

http://www2.eng.cam.ac.uk/~hemh1/SPICE/papers/PhilTransRoySoc_LiftingOptions_Davidson_Burgoyne_Hunt_Causier.pdf <http://www2.eng.cam.ac.uk/~hemh1/SPICE/papers/PhilTransRoySoc_LiftingOptions_Davidson_Burgoyne_Hunt_Causier.pdf>

delivery by Aircraft we get as around £100bn, and artillery is around £1trillion - see Fig 8

Hugh
------------------------------------------------------------------------
*From:* [email protected] <[email protected]> on behalf of [email protected] <[email protected]>
*Sent:* Sunday, November 5, 2023 6:56 PM
*To:* Andrew Lockley <[email protected]>; Gilles de Brouwer <[email protected]> *Cc:* healthy-planet-action-coalition <[email protected]>; Planetary Restoration <[email protected]>; geoengineering <[email protected]> *Subject:* Re: [geo] Re: Hansen Vs. Mann - Is Global Warming Linear Or Exponential? - CleanTechnica

Can someone do the following calculations?  How many shells?  How much material would they consume each year?  What happens to the shell casings once they've delivered their load?  What environmental impact would these discarded shell casings have and in particular would they contain any environmentally undesirable materials?  What would be necessary for this to receive social licence?

Regards

Robert


On 05/11/2023 18:22, Andrew Lockley wrote:
I've already looked at this. The meteor missile (modern) and blood hound (cold war) use ram rockets. Nammo make ram artillery, and there's Chinese manufacturers, too. It's not inexpensive to start these ramjets, considering rockets or barrel wear. Coil guns might be viable. There's manufacturers eg velontra.com <http://velontra.com/> making small hypersonic jets, which don't require a hard start.

Ballistic flight makes recovery difficult.

On Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 18:15 Gilles de Brouwer, <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    A low cost SAI option?

    Regarding the trillions or billions to do SAI geoengineering,
    consider this option:

    Watch "How ramjets may change the role of artillery on the
    battlefield" on YouTube
    https://youtu.be/0vIPNElDkns?si=9Z_mUQUXBm-4dBxF
    <https://youtu.be/0vIPNElDkns?si=9Z_mUQUXBm-4dBxF>
    At 4:21 you can see the 150km range parabolic trajectory goes as
    high as 105km altitude!

    Maybe Iowa battleship 16 inch guns with this ramjet tech could
    send stuff to orbit.
    Or could this be a low cost SAI geoengineering option?
    1. How much would it cost to refurbish and send these old
    battleships to the Arctic and Antarctic waters and deliver to
    much higher altitudes?  The armor plating would make the
    battleships iceberg damage resistant.
    2. How much longer would the particles stay at useful altitudes?
    3. Would they stay in place much longer with little wind at these
    very high altitudes?
    4. Would it be more effective than aircraft delivered SAI?

    Note from the Iowa Class Wikipedia page: "...all four are museum
    ships part of non-profit maritime museums across the US."

    Gilles

    On Sat, Nov 4, 2023, 5:16 PM Jim Baird
    <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>>
    wrote:

        From the Physics and Economics of Thermodynamics
        Geoengineering, reference 77 of  the Healthy Climate Action
        Coalition Petition to World Leaders: The Case for Urgent
        Direct Climate Cooling, The cost of removing 1139 Gt of CO2 
        with this technology (Negative Emissions CO2 OTEC) would
        therefore be $175 trillion. CDR technology for creating
        synthetic fuel from atmospheric CO2 or for other purposes
        currently costs about $600 per ton, with a goal of reducing
        this to below $100. [48] So, a goal of returning atmospheric
        CO2 levels to preindustrial  from a 2054 level of 1577 Gt is
        likely to cost at a minimum $114 trillion.

        *From:*[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]> *On
        Behalf Of *Gilles de Brouwer
        *Sent:* November 4, 2023 4:21 PM
        *To:* H simmens <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>>
        *Cc:* healthy-planet-action-coalition
        <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>>;
        via NOAC Meetings <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>>; Planetary
        Restoration <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>>;
        geoengineering <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>>
        *Subject:* Re: Hansen Vs. Mann - Is Global Warming Linear Or
        Exponential? - CleanTechnica

        My comment left on the article:

        Steve I like your writing, but "Trillions" is obviously
        wrong.  Billions is more realistic even with expensive new
        high altitude aircraft, but maybe much less expensive with a
        small fleet of specialty airships.

        All the SAI geoengineering risks are scare mongering without
        data to back it up and such dogma unscientific opinions from
        "scientists" are damaging to science as an institution.  AI,
        for example genetic algorithms or better could design an SAI
        strategy that minimizes the negatives, as it's an
        optimization problem with infinite variables which is why
        progress is so slow. Coupling computational models with small
        scale real atmosphere experiments with full public data
        access for review is critical to make a smart decision to
        potentially avoid billions starving, cooking, and/or dying of
        thirst, or migrating.

        Thanks,
        Gilles de Brouwer

        On Sat, Nov 4, 2023 at 3:10 PM H simmens <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

            

            This article provides the author an opportunity to
            declare war on Geo engineering by for example claiming
            that scientists estimate that Geoengineering will cost
            “on the order of tens of trillions of dollars”.

            Nice to know that we can count on the media to be fair
            and balanced.

            Herb


            
https://cleantechnica.com/2023/11/03/hansen-vs-mann-is-global-warming-linear-or-exponential/
            
<https://cleantechnica.com/2023/11/03/hansen-vs-mann-is-global-warming-linear-or-exponential/>

            Herb Simmens
            Author of /A Climate Vocabulary of the Future/

            “A SciencePoem and an Inspiration.” Kim Stanley Robinson
            @herbsimmens
            HerbSimmens.com

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