Climate change can be solved--through Climate Restoration Peter On Thu, Jan 11, 2024 at 9:55 AM Carol Cespedes <[email protected]> wrote:
> Action now can restore. > > Carol Cespedes > > > > On Thu, Jan 11, 2024 at 11:30 AM Bruce Melton -- Austin, Texas < > [email protected]> wrote: > >> Good review Herb and your finale is spot on: >> >> "Much research over many years has shown that the following: >> >> - A Simple Message >> - Repeated over and over again >> - Presented by trusted sources >> >> are the three essential keys to effective climate communication." >> >> I particularly like the phrasing "Later is too late." But... we have >> heard this time and again in one form or another. I invite everyone to add >> four (+/-) more words to this phrase to emphasize how much more important >> it is now with the warming acceleration. >> >> "Later is too late, the dangerous 1.5 C target has been exceeded." >> "Later is too late, end of century impacts are here." >> "Later is too late because of 30 years of delay." >> >> MeltOn >> >> Bruce Melton PE >> Director, Climate Change Now Initiative, 501c3 >> President, Melton Engineering Services Austin >> 8103 Kirkham Drive >> <https://www.google.com/maps/search/8103+Kirkham+Drive+%0D%0A++++++Austin,+Texas+78736?entry=gmail&source=g> >> Austin, Texas 78736 >> <https://www.google.com/maps/search/8103+Kirkham+Drive+%0D%0A++++++Austin,+Texas+78736?entry=gmail&source=g> >> (512)799-7998 >> ClimateDiscovery.org <https://climatediscovery.org/> >> ClimateChangePhoto.org <https://climatechangephoto.org/> >> MeltonEngineering.com <http://www.meltonengineering.com/> >> [email protected] <https://www.facebook.com/bruce.melton.395> >> [email protected] <https://www.instagram.com/bruce.c.melton/> >> The Band Climate Change >> <https://climatediscovery.org/climate-change-band/> >> Twitter - BruceCMelton1 <https://twitter.com/BruceCMelton1/> >> >> >> On 1/9/2024 6:09 PM, H simmens wrote: >> >> Thanks Ron. >> >> Sarah Kaplan one of the authors of the article is a first rate Climate >> journalist and the thoroughness of the article reflects her skills. >> >> That said there are several statements that are inconsistent with the >> science or good practice. >> >> One was a quote: >> >> “I don’t think anybody was expecting anomalies as large as we have seen,” >> from a climate scientist that demonstrated the insularity and group think >> of some in the Climate scientific community. I don’t think that Jim Hansen >> was particularly surprised for one. Too bad he wasn’t quoted. >> >> A second eyebrow raising comment was “Only by reaching “net zero” — the >> point at which people stop adding additional greenhouse gases to the >> atmosphere — can humanity reverse Earth’s long-term warming trend, said >> Paulo Ceppi, a climate scientist at Imperial College London.” >> >> This comment would lead the reader to believe that if and when net zero >> is reached cooling would immediately begin, when absent the other two legs >> of the Climate triad temperatures will remain sharply elevated and likely >> continue increasing for *centuries* depending on how high temperatures >> are if and when net zero is reached. Such a message conveys a false >> reassurance totally unwarranted and provides critics with ammunition for >> opposing DCC - Direct Climate Cooling. >> >> The third eyebrow raising comment was “That benchmark will only be >> reached when temperatures remain 1.5 degrees Celsius above average over a >> period of at least 20 years.” >> >> Depending upon how this 20 year standard - a standard I don’t believe has >> been universally adopted or accepted or one that makes much sense - is >> interpreted the world would have to wait another 10 or 20 years - when >> temperatures will likely be above 2° C - to solemnly pronounce that we’ve >> passed 1.5° C and we can begin to get worried. >> >> And of course it goes without saying that the CTO - Climate Triad Omerta >> - or code of silence about the need for massive CDR and urgent DCC to >> reduce temperatures and ultimately restore the climate continues to be >> obeyed in this article. >> >> By the way I watched an extraordinary online program yesterday where an >> international nonprofit climate marketing group presented the results of >> their detailed surveys of thousands of inhabitants of every one of the G20 >> countries. >> >> By far the message that resonated the most and changed attitudes in every >> one of the countries was a message built around these four simple words: >> >> “Later is too late” >> >> Listeners were urged to incorporate these four words - which have been >> trademarked by the firm - into our messaging campaigns. >> >> The presenters emphasized as strongly as they could that it’s time the >> climate community start following evidence based market research rather >> than our own hunches as to what may be an effective set of messages. >> >> And their conclusion is that messages that focus on jobs or prosperity or >> even threats have little purchase. >> >> It’s about preserving life for future generations that must be reiterated >> over and over and over and over again. >> >> Much research over many years has shown that the following: >> >> - A Simple Message >> - Repeated over and over again >> - Presented by trusted sources >> >> are the three essential keys to effective Climate communication. >> >> Herb >> >> Herb Simmens >> Author of *A Climate Vocabulary of the Future* >> “A SciencePoem and an Inspiration.” Kim Stanley Robinson >> @herbsimmens >> HerbSimmens.com >> >> >> On Jan 9, 2024, at 5:56 PM, Ron Baiman <[email protected]> >> <[email protected]> wrote: >> >> >> Dear Colleagues, >> >> My apologies if this link has already been shared - but I think the full >> text merits sharing if it hasn't already! >> >> It succinctly lays out the gravity of our situation and possible causes - >> including the Bunker Fuel aerosol loss that Hansen et al. 2023 point to as >> a likely key proximate factor. >> >> Best, >> Ron >> >> Scientists knew 2023’s heat would be historic — but not by this much >> >> By Scott Dance >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/scott-dance/?itid=ai_top_dances> >> >> , >> >> Sarah Kaplan >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/sarah-kaplan/?itid=ai_top_kaplansl> >> >> >> and >> >> Veronica Penney >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/veronica-penney/?itid=ai_top_penneyv> >> >> >> January 9, 2024 at 7:00 a.m. EST >> >> >> >> >> >> The year 2023 was the hottest in recorded human history, Europe’s top >> climate agency announced Tuesday, with blistering surface temperatures and >> torrid ocean conditions pushing the planet dangerously close to a >> long-feared warming threshold. >> >> According to new data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, Earth’s >> average temperature last year was 1.48 degrees Celsius (2.66 degrees >> Fahrenheit) hotter than the preindustrial average, before humans began to >> warm the planet through fossil fuel burning and other polluting activities. >> Last year shattered the previous global temperature record by almost >> two-tenths of a degree — the largest jump scientists have ever observed. >> >> This year is predicted to be even hotter >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2024/01/02/record-heat-2024-el-nino/?itid=ap_scottdance&itid=lk_inline_manual_4>. >> By the end of January or February, the agency warned, the planet’s 12-month >> average temperature is likely to exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees >> Fahrenheit) above the preindustrial level — blasting past the world’s most >> ambitious climate goal. >> >> The announcement of a new temperature record comes as little surprise to >> scientists who have witnessed the past 12 months of raging wildfires, >> deadly ocean heat waves, cataclysmic flooding and a worrisome Antarctic >> thaw. A scorching summer and “gobsmacking” autumn temperature anomalies >> had all but guaranteed that 2023 would be a year for the history books. >> >> But the amount by which the previous record was broken shocked even >> climate experts. >> >> “I don’t think anybody was expecting anomalies as large as we have seen,” >> Copernicus director Carlo Buontempo said. “It was on the edge of what was >> plausible.” >> >> The staggering new statistics underscore how human-caused climate change >> has allowed regular planetary fluctuations to push temperatures into >> uncharted territory. Each of the past eight years was already among the >> eight warmest ever observed. Then, a complex and still somewhat >> mysterious host of climatic influences combined with human activities to push >> 2023 even hotter — ushering in an age of “global boiling,” >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/31/2023-record-heat-temperatures/?itid=lk_inline_manual_8> >> in the words of United Nations Secretary General António Guterres. >> >> Unless nations transform their economies and rapidly transition away from >> polluting fuels, experts warn, this level of warming will unravel >> ecological webs and cause human-built systems to collapse. >> >> A man cools off with a mist dispenser set up in a street in central >> Baghdad amid soaring temperatures, on Aug. 15. (Ahmad Al-Rubaye/AFP/Getty >> Images) >> >> A year that ‘doesn’t have an equivalent’ >> >> When ominous warmth first appeared in Earth’s oceans last spring >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/04/28/ocean-temperatures-heat-record-surge-climate/?itid=lk_inline_manual_12>, >> scientists said it was a likely sign that record global heat was >> imminent — but not until 2024. >> >> But as the planet transitioned into an El Niño climate pattern — >> characterized by warm Pacific Ocean waters — temperatures took a steeper >> jump >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/09/06/hottest-summer-record-extreme-heat/?itid=lk_inline_manual_13>. >> July and August were the two warmest months in the 173-year record >> Copernicus examined. >> >> Can you guess how crazy last year’s weather was? Try this game. >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2024/global-heat-sea-surface-temperature-records/?itid=lk_interstitial_manual_14> >> >> >> As Antarctic sea ice dwindled >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/09/25/antarctica-record-low-ice-arctic-climate/?itid=lk_inline_manual_15> >> and the planet’s hottest places flirted with conditions too extreme for >> people to survive >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/07/18/extreme-heat-record-limits-human-survival/?itid=lk_inline_manual_15>, >> scientists speculated that 2023 would not only be the warmest on record >> — it might well exceed anything seen in the last 100,000 years. Analyses of >> fossils, ice cores >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/interactive/2023/greenland-ice-sheet-drilling-bedrock-sea-rise/?itid=lk_inline_manual_15> >> and ocean sediments suggest that global temperatures haven’t been this >> high since before the last ice age, when Homo sapiens had just begun to >> migrate >> out of Africa >> <https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/their-footsteps-human-migration-out-africa/> >> and hippos roamed >> <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/netherlands-journal-of-geosciences/article/eemian-mammal-fauna-of-central-europe/4FBC07DE56147B70F9ADFED99D34EF94> >> <https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/netherlands-journal-of-geosciences/article/eemian-mammal-fauna-of-central-europe/4FBC07DE56147B70F9ADFED99D34EF94>in >> what is now Germany. >> >> Autumn brought even greater departures from the norm. Temperatures in >> September >> <https://climate.copernicus.eu/record-breaking-north-atlantic-ocean-temperatures-contribute-extreme-marine-heatwaves> >> were almost a full degree Celsius hotter than the average over the past >> 30 years, making it the most unusually warm month in Copernicus’s data set. >> And two days in November were, for the first time ever, more than 2 >> degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) hotter than the preindustrial >> average for those dates. >> >> “What we have seen in 2023 doesn’t have an equivalent,” Buontempo said. >> >> This year’s record-setting conditions were driven in part by >> unprecedented warmth in the oceans’ surface waters, Copernicus said. The >> agency measured marine heat waves from the Indian Ocean to the Gulf of >> Mexico. Parts of the Atlantic Ocean experienced temperatures 4 to 5 degrees >> Celsius (7.2 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit) above average — a level that the >> National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration classifies as “beyond >> extreme.” >> >> While researchers have not yet determined the impacts on sea life, >> similar heat waves have caused massive harms to microorganisms at the >> base of the food web, bleached corals and fueled toxic algae blooms, she >> added. >> >> Though the oceans cover about two-thirds of Earth’s surface, scientists >> estimate they have absorbed about 90 percent of the extra warming from >> humans’ burning of fossil fuels and the greenhouse effect those emissions >> have in the atmosphere. >> >> “The ocean is our sentinel,” said Karina von Schuckmann, an oceanographer >> at the nonprofit Mercator Ocean International. >> >> The dramatic warming in the ocean is a clear signal of “how much the >> Earth is out of energy balance,” she added — with heat continuing to build >> faster than it can be released from the planet. >> >> A helicopter fights a wildfire in Reguengo, Portalegre district, south of >> Portugal, on Aug. 8. Intense heat across caused fires across Portugal and >> neighboring Spain. (Patricia De Melo Moreira/AFP/Getty Images) >> >> Sunbathers pack into Macumba beach, in the west zone of Rio de Janeiro, >> on Sept. 24, during a heat wave. (Tercio Teixeira/AFP/Getty Images) >> >> What drove the record warmth >> >> Scientists are still disentangling the factors that made this year so >> unusual. >> >> The largest and most obvious is El Niño, the infamous global climate >> pattern that emerges a few times a decade and is known to boost average >> planetary temperatures by a few tenths of a degree Celsius, or as much as >> half a degree Fahrenheit. El Niño’s signature is a zone of >> warmer-than-normal waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific >> Ocean, which release vast amounts of heat and water vapor and trigger >> extreme weather patterns around the world. >> >> But El Niño alone cannot explain the extraordinary heat of the past 12 >> months, according to Copernicus. Because it wasn’t just the Pacific that >> exhibited dramatic warmth this year. >> >> Scientists also believe the Atlantic may have warmed as a result of >> weakened westerly winds, which tend to churn up waters and send surface >> warmth into deeper ocean layers. It could also have been the product of >> below-normal Saharan dust in the air; the particles normally act to block >> some sunlight from reaching the ocean surface. >> >> Around the world, in fact, there has been a decline in sun-blocking >> particles known as aerosols, in large part because of efforts to reduce air >> pollution. In recent years, shipping freighters have taken measures to >> reduce their emissions. Scientists have speculated >> <https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/aerosols-are-so2-emissions-reductions-contributing-global-warming>the >> decline in aerosols may have allowed more sun to reach the oceans. >> >> And then there is the potential impact of a massive underwater volcanic >> eruption. When Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai blasted a plume 36 miles high in >> January 2022, scientists warned it released so much water vapor into the >> atmosphere, it could have a lingering effect for months, if not years, to >> come. >> >> NASA satellite data showed the volcano sent an unprecedented amount of >> water into the stratosphere >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/08/05/volcano-eruption-tonga-record-climate/?itid=lk_inline_manual_33> >> — equal to 10 percent of the amount of water that was already contained in >> the second layer of Earth’s atmosphere. In the stratosphere, water vapor — >> like human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide — acts as a greenhouse gas, >> trapping heat like a blanket around the Earth. >> >> But it won’t be clear how much of a role each of those factors played >> until scientists can test each of those hypotheses. >> >> What is clear, scientists stress, is that this year’s extremes were only >> possible because they unfolded against the backdrop of human-caused climate >> change. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere hit a record >> high of 419 parts per million in 2023, Copernicus said. And despite global >> pledges to cut down on methane — which traps 86 times as much heat as >> carbon dioxide over a short time scales — levels of that gas also >> reached new peaks. >> >> Only by reaching “net zero” — the point at which people stop adding >> additional greenhouse to the atmosphere — can humanity reverse Earth’s >> long-term warming trend, said Paulo Ceppi, a climate scientist at Imperial >> College London. >> >> “That is what the physical science tells us that we need to do,” Ceppi >> said. >> >> Icebergs drift as they melt due to warm temperatures along the Scoresby >> Sound Fjord, in Eastern Greenland on Aug. 16. (Olivier Morin/AFP/Getty >> Images) >> >> What comes next >> >> Almost half of all days in 2023 were 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer than the >> preindustrial average for that date, Copernicus said — giving the world a >> dangerous taste of a climate it had pledged to avoid. >> >> At the Paris climate conference in 2015, nations agreed to a stretch goal >> of “pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C above >> preindustrial levels.” Three years later, a special report from the >> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change found that staying within this >> ambitious threshold could avoid many of the most disastrous consequences of >> warming — but it would require the world to almost halve greenhouse gas >> emissions in just over a decade. >> >> But emissions have continued to rise, and now the world appears poised on >> the brink of surpassing the Paris target. >> >> At least one climate science organization believes the barrier has >> already been crossed. Berkeley Earth said in December that 2023 is >> virtually certain >> <https://berkeleyearth.org/november-2023-temperature-update/> to eclipse >> it, though its estimates of 19th century temperatures are slightly lower >> than those other climate scientists use. >> >> This doesn’t necessarily mean the world has officially surpassed the >> limit set in the Paris climate agreement in 2015. That benchmark will >> only be reached when temperatures remain 1.5 degrees Celsius above average >> over a period of at least 20 years. >> >> But scientists are already speculating that the planet could set another >> average temperature record in 2024. Some also say the latest spike in >> global temperatures is a sign the rate of climate change has accelerated >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/26/global-warming-accelerating-climate-change/?itid=lk_inline_manual_45> >> . >> >> Whether or not 2023 surpasses the 1.5 degree limit, the year “has given >> us a glimpse of what 1.5 may look like,” Buontempo said. >> >> He hoped that the latest record allows that reality to set in — and spurs >> action. >> >> “As a society, we have to be better at using this knowledge,” Buontempo >> added, “because the future will not be like our past.” >> >> Alonzo McAdams drinks a bottle of water given to him from a Salvation >> Army truck handing out water, and other supplies for the homeless in >> Tucson, on July 26. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images) >> >> More on climate change >> >> Understanding our climate: Global warming is a real phenomenon >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/national/climate-environment/thermometers-climate-change/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_1&itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_1>, >> and weather disasters are undeniably linked to it >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/2020/10/22/climate-curious-disasters-climate-change/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_2>. >> As temperatures rise, heat waves are more often sweeping the globe — and >> parts of the world are becoming too hot to survive >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/interactive/2021/climate-change-humidity/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_4&itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_3> >> . >> >> What can be done? The Post is tracking a variety of climate solutions >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_4>, >> as well as the Biden administration’s actions on environmental issues >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2021/climate-environment/biden-climate-environment-actions/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_9&itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_5>. >> It can feel overwhelming facing the impacts of climate change, but there >> are ways to cope with climate anxiety >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/wellness/climate-change-anxiety-dread-cope/2021/07/14/471eb264-e4d4-11eb-b722-89ea0dde7771_story.html?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_6> >> . >> >> Inventive solutions: Some people have built off-the-grid homes from trash >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/2022/01/04/earthship-houses-climate-change/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_7> >> to stand up to a changing climate. As seas rise, others are exploring how >> to harness marine energy >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/interactive/2021/cop26-scotland-wave-energy-renewables/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_14&itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_8> >> . >> >> What about your role in climate change? Our climate coach Michael J. >> Coren >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/11/28/why-washington-post-is-starting-climate-advice-column/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_9> >> is answering questions about environmental choices in our everyday lives. >> Submit >> yours here. >> <https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd-euNpVw9Z7xvi2ZoRiiE9why3YJTsHumbX9XrRe6bXX4Yrg/viewform?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_10> >> You can also sign up for our Climate Coach newsletter >> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/newsletters/climate-coach/?itid=lb_more-on-climate-change_11> >> . >> >> Climate change and global warming >> >> -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Healthy Climate Alliance" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/healthy-climate-alliance/CAC9bnBWNpdgFZ7Xsdxw%2B5bJay5rGcGU25uER_2V%3DEKG7cgFtzw%40mail.gmail.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/healthy-climate-alliance/CAC9bnBWNpdgFZ7Xsdxw%2B5bJay5rGcGU25uER_2V%3DEKG7cgFtzw%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. 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