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https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI-SS/article/view/27664

*Authors*
Pierce Warburton
Kurtis Shuler
Lekha Patel

*22 January 2024*

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1609/aaaiss.v2i1.27664

*Abstract*
Satellite imagery can detect a wealth of ship tracks, temporary cloud
trails created via cloud seeding by the emitted aerosols of large ships, a
phenomenon that cannot be directly reproduced by global climate models.
Ship tracks are satellite-observable examples of aerosol-cloud
interactions, processes that constitute the largest uncertainty in climate
forcing predictions, and when observed are also examples of Marine Cloud
Brightening (MCB), a potential climate intervention strategy. Leveraging
the large amount of observed ship track data to enhance understanding of
aerosol-cloud interactions and the potentials of MCB is hindered by the
computational infeasiblity of characterization from expensive physical
models. In this paper, we focus on utilizing a cheaper physics-informed
advection-diffusion surrogate to accurately emulate ship track behavior. As
an indication of aerosol-cloud interaction behavior, we focus on learning
the spreading behavior of ship tracks, neatly encoded in the emulator's
spatio-temporal diffusion field. We train a convolutional LSTM to
accurately learn the spreading behavior of simulated and satellite-masked
ship tracks and discuss its potential in larger scale studies.

*Keywords*: Deep Learning, Surrogate Modeling, Emulation, Drift-diffusion,
Convolutional LSTM, Image Analysis, Aerosol-cloud Interactions, Climate
Intervention, Geoengineering

*Source:PKP Publishing Services Network*

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