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https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44273-024-00028-x

*Authors*
Olusola Samuel Ojo, Israel Emmanuel, Emmanuel Ogolo & Babatunde Adeyemi

*06 February 2024*

*Abstract*
This study evaluates the impact of the stratospheric aerosol injection
(SAI) technique for solar radiation management (SRM) on the potential of
photovoltaic energy in four climatic regions throughout Nigeria. The
photovoltaic energy potential for the SRM scenario (PVE srm) and the
reference database (PEV ref) were evaluated using solar radiation and
temperature data from the ARISE-SAI-1.5 model and from the MERRA-2 climate
data repository, respectively. Before projecting the impact of the SAI
approach on photovoltaic energy generation, the agreement between PVE srm
and PVE ref was evaluated using the index of agreement metric. The analysis
showed that the index of agreement had values of 0.90 in the Sahel, 0.98 in
the Guinea Savannah, 0.97 in the rainforest, and 0.82 in the coastal
regions. Other validation metrics used also showed similar trends across
the climatic regions in Nigeria. The projected analysis of the impact on
photovoltaic energy generation between 2035 and 2069 indicated potential
gains of + 5.20 in the Sahel, + 3.60 in the Guinea Savannah, and + 3.40 in
the rainforest, but a decline of − 3.20 in the coastal region, all values
in watts per square meters. In conclusion, this study reveals that the
implementation of the SAI approach for solar radiation management would
have a relatively gainful influence on solar power generation in the Sahel,
the Guinea Savannah, the rainforest but declined effect in the coastal
region. The results of this study provide valuable insights into the
influence of solar radiation management and renewable energy generation in
different climatic zones across Nigeria.

*Source: SpringerLink*

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