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https://council.science/current/blog/world-climate-research-programme-launches-a-lighthouse-activity-on-climate-intervention-research/

Lighthouse activities are designed to be ambitious and transdisciplinary
research efforts.

*15 February 2024*


With Climate Intervention (CI) approaches beginning to proliferate as a
potential pathway to reduce, remove, or offset some of the effects of
climate change, international research efforts urgently needed to determine
the effectiveness, risks, and opportunities of CI and inform societal
decisions about possible implementation.

It is in this context that the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), an
ISC co-sponsored Affiliated Body, has launched a Lighthouse Activity (LHA)
on Climate Intervention Research. Lighthouse activities are designed to be
ambitious and transdisciplinary research efforts that integrate across
other WCRP programs to rapidly advance the science and institutional
frameworks needed to better manage climate risk and meet society’s urgent
need for robust and actionable climate information. Climate intervention
(CI) refers to the deliberate large-scale manipulation of the planetary
environment to counteract anthropogenic climate change. CI includes both
large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and sequestration technologies as
well as solar radiation modification (SRM).

CDR approaches are aimed at intervening in the Earth’s carbon cycle to
remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Recent scientific assessments
indicate that holding climate warming to below 1.5°C is implausible without
significant deployment of CDR, and in ambitious mitigation scenarios,
net-negative emissions are reached by mid-century. However, there are
substantial environmental, technical, and cost challenges in using CDR at
the scale needed to significantly halt or reduce global warming. These
challenges, and the slow response of the climate system, make it unlikely
that CDR could be implemented rapidly enough or at sufficient scale to
avoid potentially dangerous levels of climate warming in the coming decades.

As a complement to long-term emissions reductions, adaptation, and CDR, SRM
is being considered as an approach to rapidly counter near-term climate
warming. SRM approaches are aimed at directly influencing the Earth’s
radiation budget – such as by reflecting a small percentage of incoming
solar radiation back to space or reducing the amount of infrared radiation
retained by Earth. While SRM may rapidly counter some greenhouse gas
warming impacts, the extent to which SRM can reduce climate change hazards
has not been robustly established, nor has the extent to which SRM may
introduce new risks to people and ecosystems.

Also, since SRM does not reduce GHG emissions, and it does not address the
causes of anthropogenic climate change, some other environmental harms from
increased concentrations of CO2 and other GHGs would continue. Any
potential SRM deployment would therefore be at best an approach that could
operate in parallel with mitigation measures, with SRM deployment declining
as CO2 emissions and atmospheric concentrations decline globally.

With many scientific knowledge gaps and uncertainties around the potential
benefits, risks and sustainable scale-up potential of CI, rigorous,
transparent, and globally inclusive research is required to further
understand and facilitate the comprehensive assessments that are needed to
inform climate policies. The new WCRP LHA will form a basis for such
assessments, which are critical for evaluating the rapidly evolving CI
literature, identifying key scenarios, environmental consequences,
uncertainties, and knowledge gaps, and guiding the research necessary to
serve as a foundation for governance and decision making.

Furthermore, the WCRP LHA will ensure that research to inform decisions
about CDR and SRM will be conducted transparently, with open access to
data, results, and the models used to assess interventions and their
impacts. Importantly, the LHA will also ensure that scientists globally
will be involved in the research and in defining metrics of relevance for
assessing the climate risks and benefits of CI approaches.

*Source: International Science Council *

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