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https://www.pnnl.gov/publications/implication-stratospheric-aerosol-geoengineering-compound-precipitation-and

*Citations*: Obahoundje S., V.H. Nguessan-Bi, A. Diedhiou, B. Kravitz, and
J. Moore. 2023. Implication of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on
compound precipitation and temperature extremes in Africa, Science of the
Total Environment 863.

*23 February 2024*

https://www.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160806

*Abstract*
Three Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) models that simulated
the G4 experiment of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project
(GeoMIP) were used to investigate the impact of stratospheric aerosol
injection (SAI) on combined temperature and precipitation extremes in
Africa that can have greater negative impacts on human and the environment
than individual rainfall or temperature extremes. The examined compound
extremes included the dry (Rwarm?dry and Rcold?dry) and wet (Rwarm?wet and
Rcold?wet) modes assessed during the injection (SAI, 2050–2069) and
post-injection (postSAI, 2070–2089) periods compared with the historical
period (1986–2005). We found a significant projected change in the
occurrence of both wet and dry modes during SAI and postSAI related to the
historical period. The magnitude and sign of this change depend on the
season and the geographical location. During the SAI and postSAI, the wet
(Rwarm?wet and Rcold?wet) modes are projected to be significantly lower
while the dry modes are noted to increase in a large part of African
continent depending on the season and the geographical location and may
consequently leads to an increase of the droughts prone areas. The
termination effect is noted to reduce the occurrence of dry modes, whichmay
reduce the potential negative effects of the injection after halting. As
the effect may vary fromone region to another and according to the season,
it suggested assessing the key sector impacts of SAI. Thus, this change in
drymodes due to SAI could affect all activitieswhich depend on water
resources such as water supply, agriculture and food production, energy
demand, and production with adverse effects on health, security, and
sustainable development, but this needs to be assessed and quantified at
regional scales.

*Source: PNNL*

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