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https://hal.science/hal-04449996/

*Authors*
Susanne Baur , Benjamin M Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent Terray,

*09 February 2024*

*Citations*: Susanne Baur, Benjamin M Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Laurent
Terray. Change in Wind Renewable Energy Potential under Stratospheric
Aerosol Injections. 2024. ⟨hal-04449996⟩

*Abstract*
Wind renewable energy (WRE) is an essential component of the global
sustainable energy portfolio. Recently, there has been increasing
discussion on the potential supplementation of this conventional mitigation
portfolio with Solar Radiation Modification (SRM). However, the impact of
SRM on conventional mitigation measures has received limited attention to
date. In this study, we explore one part of this impact, the potential
effect of one type of SRM, Stratospheric Aerosol Injections (SAI), on WRE.
Using hourly output from the Earth System Model CNRM-ESM2-1, we compare WRE
potential under a medium emission scenario (SSP245) and a high emission
scenario (SSP585) with an SRM scenario that has SSP585 baseline conditions
and uses SAI to cool to approximately SSP245 global warming levels. Our
results suggest that SAI may affect surface wind resources by modifying
large-scale circulation patterns, such as a significant poleward jet-shift
in the Southern Hemisphere. The modeled total global WRE potential is
negligibly reduced under SAI compared to the SSP-scenarios. However,
regional trends in wind potential are highly variable, with large increases
and decreases frequently reaching up to 16 % across the globe with SAI.
This study provides valuable insights into the potential downstream effects
of SRM on climatic elements, such as wind patterns, and offers perspectives
on its implications for our mitigation efforts.

*Source: HAL*

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