https://phys.org/news/2024-08-scientists-guidelines-solar-geoengineering.html


*Author*
David Hosansky , NCAR & UCAR

*23 August 2024*
[image: Scientists propose guidelines for solar geoengineering research]
<https://scx2.b-cdn.net/gfx/news/hires/2024/scientists-propose-gui.jpg>

The proposed eight interconnected research criteria are grouped into three
main categories (different colors). The order of the criteria shown is not
meant to imply a ranking of importance. Credit: *Oxford Open Climate
Change* (2024).
DOI: 10.1093/oxfclm/kgae010
Scientists propose guidelines for solar geoengineering research
The proposed eight interconnected research criteria are grouped into three
main categories (different colors). The order of the criteria shown is not
meant to imply a ranking of importance. Credit: Oxford Open Climate Change
(2024). DOI: 10.1093/oxfclm/kgae010

Scientists for several years have studied the theoretical effectiveness of
injecting sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere to reflect heat from the sun
and offset Earth's warming temperatures. But they also want to ensure that
the solar geoengineering approaches being studied are evaluated for their
technical feasibility, as well as their cooling potential and possible
ecological and societal side effects.


To guide future work, an international team of scientists led by the U.S.
National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research (NSF
NCAR) has published a paper in Oxford Open Climate Change with specific
recommendations for evaluating proposals to inject sulfur dioxide, which is
known as stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI).

The paper also suggests criteria for discontinuing those scenarios that are
not feasible because of scientific, technical, or societal issues.

"The goal is to work toward an assessment that can be used to identify the
most feasible and legitimate scenarios, based on both how much they reduce
natural and societal risks as well as any unwanted side effects," said NSF
NCAR scientist Simone Tilmes, the lead author.

"If society were to ever consider implementing SAI, it is imperative that
we provide the best possible scientific understanding to policy makers and
the public."

Mimicking volcanic eruptions
Once injected into the stratosphere, sulfur dioxide would form
sunlight-reflecting sulfate aerosols. Previous studies, drawing on computer
modeling and observations of large volcanic eruptions, have shown these
aerosols would have a cooling effect similar to that of a major volcanic
eruption.


The injections could continue to cool Earth for decades or even centuries,
buying time until heat-trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere return
to lower levels.

The previous research, however, has also emphasized the potential risks of
SAI, such as changing the stratospheric ozone layer and altering global
precipitation patterns.

Since such injections cannot perfectly offset the impacts of greenhouse gas
emissions, Tilmes and her co-authors write that informed policy decisions
require a comprehensive understanding of the benefits and risks of SAI.
They emphasize the need for a research and governance structure, with fair
representation from both the Global South and North, to oversee SAI
research and technology developments.

"Research on various solar geoengineering methods has been going on for a
few decades now, but there hasn't been a formal assessment collating all
the information in one place suitable for policy makers and the public,"
said NOAA scientist Karen Rosenlof, a co-author of the new paper.

"It's time for such an assessment to occur, covering the criteria described
in this paper, and repeated on a regular basis."

The paper proposes eight research criteria for assessing SAI developments.
The criteria are:


   - Technical and economic limitations
   - Cooling potential
   - Ability to meet climate objectives
   - Infrastructure for monitoring, detection, and attribution
   - Large-scale and regional climate response
   - Impacts on human and natural systems
   - Societal risks
   - Mitigation of risks through governance


"The goal of these criteria is to promote optimal approaches from a climate
perspective while carefully weighing the benefits and risks and making sure
to include the perspectives of underrepresented groups and the Global
South," Tilmes said.


*More information*: Simone Tilmes et al, Research criteria towards an
interdisciplinary Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention assessment, Oxford
Open Climate Change (2024). DOI: 10.1093/oxfclm/kgae010

*Source: Phys.Org*

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