https://studenttheses.uu.nl/handle/20.500.12932/47764

*Author*
Lingbeek, Simone

2024

*Abstract*
The implementation of adequate and timely policies to prevent the further
increase of green- house gases in our atmosphere and the most disastrous
effects of global warming is becoming increasingly unlikely. In this
context, stratospheric aerosol injections (SAI) could provide a solution by
(temporarily) decreasing global mean surface temperature. The study of SAI
as a climate intervention requires earth system models capable of resolving
comprehensive at- mospheric chemistry and dynamics. Here we validate a
method that makes use of the results of the comprehensive atmospheric model
CESM2(WACCM6) to simulate SAI with the sim- pler CESM2(CAM6). We show that
this method is succesful in replicating the experiment, reproducing surface
temperature and precipitation trends within the range of model-variability.
The atmospheric thermodynamical changes caused by SAI are replicated in our
model as well, especially for the Southern Hemisphere. We then use our
model to conduct experiments with two SAI scenarios - a gradual SAI
starting in 2020 and a rapid cooling SAI scenario starting in 2080, both
with SSP5-8.5 as background. We study the effects of SAI on the large-scale
atmospheric circulation of the Southern Hemisphere. We find that both SAI
scenarios are able to prevent the changes in the lower stratosphere
observed under SSP5-8.5. In the upper strato- sphere SAI leads to a much
stronger polar night jet. SAI is also not able to prevent the strong
decrease in the frequency of sudden stratospheric warming events as
observed under SSP5-8.5. We find a slightly weaker response to SAI in the
rapid cooling SAI scenario, but overall trends are identical to the gradual
SAI scenario.

*Source: Utrecht University*

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