SOLAR GEOENGINEERING WEEKLY SUMMARY (04 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER 2024)

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By Andrew Lockley
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CALL FOR INPUTCall for Input—Solar geoengineering: What could go wrong? A
natural science perspective
<https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSezQ7MfIA9T6kE4mzRp6li08FAU7Brf39vWUjqYsmREGIudlA/viewform>
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RESEARCH PAPERSProjected future changes in extreme precipitation over China
under stratospheric aerosol intervention in the UKESM1 climate model
<https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/24/12355/2024/>

Wang, O., Liang, J., Gu, Y., Haywood, J. M., Chen, Y., Fang, C., & Wang, Q.
G. (2024). Projected future changes in extreme precipitation over China
under stratospheric aerosol intervention in the UKESM1 climate model.
*Atmospheric
Chemistry and Physics*, *24*(21), 12355-12373.

*Abstract*

Extreme precipitation events are linked to severe economic losses and
casualties in China every year; hence, exploring the potential mitigation
strategies to minimize these events and their changes in frequency and
intensity under global warming is of importance, particularly for the
populous subregions. In addition to global warming scenarios, this study
examines the effects of the potential deployment of stratospheric aerosol
injection (SAI) on hydrological extremes in China based on the SAI
simulations (G6sulfur) of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project
(GeoMIP) by the UK Earth System Model (UKESM1) simulations. G6sulfur is
compared with simulations of the future climate under two different
emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5 and SSP2-4.5) and a reduction in the solar
constant (G6solar) to understand the effect of SAI on extreme precipitation
patterns. The results show that under global warming scenarios,
precipitation and extreme wet climate events during 2071–2100 are projected
to increase relative to the control period (1981–2010) across all the
subregions in China. Extreme drought events show a projected increase in
southern China. The G6sulfur and G6solar experiments show statistically
similar results to those under SSP2-4.5 in extreme precipitation
intensities of China in UKESM1. These results are encouraging. The efficacy
of SAI in decreasing extreme precipitation events and consecutive wet days
is more pronounced than that of G6solar when compared to SSP2-4.5. While
both G6sulfur and G6solar show drying at high-latitude regions, which is
consistent with our understanding of the spin-down of the hydrological
cycle under SRM. Given the limitations of the current model and the small
ensemble size, and considering that the hydrological effects are less
beneficial than those indicated for temperature, it is recommended that
further, more comprehensive research be performed, including using multiple
models, to better understand these impacts.

One Atmosphere, Many Metaphysics: The Philosophies of Geoengineering
<https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.173046676.60091926>

Pavesi, M. (2024). One Atmosphere, Many Metaphysics: The Philosophies of
Geoengineering. *Authorea Preprints*.

*Abstract*

Deliberate, large-scale interventions in the Earth’s climate system,
collectively known as “geoengineering”, are increasingly being proposed to
counteract the worst effects of global warming. Public and scholarly
controversies have ensued due to the high risks and high uncertainties that
characterise these novel technologies. For all that, geoengineering is
currently being evaluated at the highest levels of governance, and a
full-scale review by the United Nations is ongoing. To enrich the
understanding of geoengineering, the present work reviews the metaphysics
behind the main arguments in favour and against geoengineering. Based on
the varied conceptions of humans, nature, knowledge, and technical systems,
which support their appraisals, proponents and opponents of climate
engineering are grouped into four ideal-types: homo naturans, homo faber,
homo sapiens, and anthropo-not-seen. In addition to the pro-against
geoengineering fissure, a second one is identified:
transcendental-instrumental metaphysics.

Climate response to interhemispheric differences in radiative forcing
governed by shortwave cloud feedbacks
<https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ad8df6/meta>

Kaur, H., Bala, G., & Seshadri, A. K. (2024). Climate response to
interhemispheric differences in radiative forcing governed by shortwave
cloud feedbacks. *Environmental Research: Climate*.

*Abstract*

Understanding the climate response to interhemispheric differences in
imposed radiative forcing is crucial for solar radiative modification (SRM)
investigations. While previous studies have shown that climate sensitivity
to solar insolation changes imposed in the northern versus the southern
hemisphere is different, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. In this
study, we investigate the climate response to three different radiative
forcing scenarios: globally uniform radiative forcing, radiative forcing
imposed only in the northern hemisphere, and radiative forcing confined
only to the southern hemisphere. We find that the climate sensitivity is
larger when forcing is imposed only in the southern hemisphere. To explain
the mechanisms for this, we estimate climate feedbacks using the radiative
kernel approach. We find that albedo and Planck feedbacks are insensitive
to hemisphere of forcing, and the larger climate sensitivity to the
southern hemispheric radiative forcing is primarily due to differences in
shortwave cloud feedbacks. Additionally, we examine impacts of
interhemispheric differences in radiative forcing on tropical circulation,
planetary albedo, and land/sea warming contrast. Our results clearly
demonstrate how the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) moves into the
hemisphere where the radiative forcing is larger without maintaining a
symmetric planetary albedo. Overall, our study provides insights into
climate system responses to interhemispheric differences in radiative
forcing caused by forcing agents such as aerosols from volcanic eruptions
and human activities, and land cover changes, in addition to solar
geoengineering.

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WEB POSTSReflecting on Solar Geoengineering and Biodiversity: Insights from
CBD COP16 in Cali
<https://sgdeliberation.org/reflecting-on-solar-geoengineering-and-biodiversity-insights-from-cbd-cop16-in-cali/>
(DSG)
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*UPCOMING EVENTS**Solar Climate Intervention Virtual Symposia # 14
<https://sites.google.com/view/solargeo-symposium/home> | 15 November 2024
| Online**Integrative synthesis workshop focusing on identifying gaps in
current governance & ethics
<https://apply.knowinnovation.com/climateintervention/>| 18 November 2024 |
Online*(NEW) Planetary Gamble: Climate Breakdown or Solar Geoengineering?
by The University of Edinburgh
<https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/planetary-gamble-climate-breakdown-or-solar-geoengineering-tickets-1075704133019?aff=oddtdtcreator>
| 20 November 2024 | United Kingdom *Solar Geoengineering UNEA Simulation
by FASS at Air University & DSG
<https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeX-kcvWoB-vLWC9dLIGUfA2OrmpPe1o71oQB04P4UIOCUOFw/viewform>
| 26 November 2024 | Islamabad, Pakistan**Climate Repair Seminar Series -
Autumn 2024
<https://www.tickettailor.com/events/centreforclimaterepair1/1253490>*

*Good COP, Bad COP: a post-COP29 assessment | 27 November 2024*

*SRM Discussion: A Measured Analysis on a Potential Avenue for Combatting
Climate Change by Duke Law School
<https://law.duke.edu/events/srm-discussion-measured-analysis-potential-avenue-combatting-climate-change>
| 04 December 2024 | North Carolina **2025 Solar Radiation Management
Annual Meeting by Simons Foundation
<https://www.simonsfoundation.org/event/solar-radiation-management-annual-meeting-2025/>
| 24-25 April 2025 | New York **The 2025 Degrees Global Forum
<https://substack.com/redirect/8521c00b-652a-4d78-822f-7ae393c57068?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
12-16 May 2025 | Cape Town, South Africa**Artic Repair Conference 2025 by
University of Cambridge & Center for Climate Repair
<https://substack.com/redirect/90f81f14-d09c-4418-8d97-c6621d753433?j=eyJ1IjoiMjJrMHl3In0.wQQsFypG52typ8FI2nhnJ8eUoUIIkdCkuhmzxNYKtgE>
|
26-28 June 2025 | Cambridge UK*

Solar Geoengineering Events Calendar <https://teamup.com/ks64mmvtit583eitxx>
------------------------------
PODCASTSDirect climate cooling overview - Baiman | Reviewer 2 does
Geoengineering

Direct climate cooling overview - Baiman

Reviewer 2 does geoengineering

1:03:32
<https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/direct-climate-cooling-overview-baiman/id1529459393?i=1000676404667&uo=4>

"Ron Baiman discusses his expansive paper summarising all known SRM and
other direct climate cooling techniques
https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/4/1/kgae014/7731760 Plus his letter
to the International Maritime Organization
https://academic.oup.com/oocc/article/4/1/kgae008/7706251";

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*YOUTUBE VIDEOS*Can we geo-engineer our way out of climate change? with
Gernot Wagner | MHTV Podcasts <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGakl-b9PgE>

"Jason talks to Gernot Wagner about geo-engineering, and whether it's a
feasible way forward."

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