https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/17/7963/2024/

*Authors*
Philip J. Rasch, Haruki Hirasawa, Mingxuan Wu, Sarah J. Doherty, Robert
Wood, Hailong Wang, Andy Jones, James Haywood, and Hansi Singh

*Citation*: Rasch, P. J., Hirasawa, H., Wu, M., Doherty, S. J., Wood, R.,
Wang, H., Jones, A., Haywood, J., and Singh, H.: A protocol for model
intercomparison of impacts of marine cloud brightening climate
intervention, Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 7963–7994,
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7963-2024, 2024.

*08 November 2024*

*Abstract*
A modeling protocol (defined by a series of climate model simulations with
specified model output) is introduced. Studies using these simulations are
designed to improve the understanding of climate impacts using a strategy
for climate intervention (CI) known as marine cloud brightening (MCB) in
specific regions; therefore, the protocol is called MCB-REG (where REG
stands for region). The model simulations are not intended to assess
consequences of a realistic MCB deployment intended to achieve specific
climate targets but instead to expose responses to interventions in six
regions with pervasive cloud systems that are often considered candidates
for such a deployment. A calibration step involving simulations with fixed
sea surface temperatures (SSTs) is first used to identify a common forcing,
and then coupled simulations with forcing in individual regions and
combinations of regions are used to examine climate impacts. Synthetic
estimates constructed by superposing responses from simulations with
forcing in individual regions are considered a means of approximating the
climate impacts produced when MCB interventions are introduced in multiple
regions.

A few results comparing simulations from three modern climate models
(CESM2, E3SMv2, and UKESM1) are used to illustrate the similarities and
differences between model behavior and the utility of estimates of MCB
climate responses that were synthesized by summing responses introduced in
individual regions. Cloud responses to aerosol injections differ
substantially between models (CESM2 clouds appear much more susceptible to
aerosol emissions than the other models), but patterns in precipitation and
surface temperature responses were similar when forcing is imposed with
similar amplitudes in the same regions. A previously identified La
Niña-like response to forcing introduced in the Southeast Pacific is
evident in this study, but the amplitude of the response was shown to
markedly differ across the three models. Other common response patterns
were also found and are discussed. Forcing in the Southeast Atlantic
consistently (across all three models) produces weaker global cooling than
that in other regions, and the Southeast Pacific and South Pacific show the
strongest cooling. This indicates that the efficiency of a given
intervention depends on not only the susceptibility of the clouds to
aerosol perturbations, but also the strength of the underlying radiative
feedbacks and ocean responses operating within each region. These responses
were generally robust across models, but more studies and an examination of
responses with ensembles would be beneficial.

*Source: EGU*

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
"geoengineering" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email 
to [email protected].
To view this discussion visit 
https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/CAHJsh99kv3En2oiv2xwrM97f-w0DpFri8xH_0n1GHVN-Xgtdug%40mail.gmail.com.

Reply via email to