https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5077966

*Authors*
Rahmat Gernowo, Hendri, Ahmad Faqih, Sorja Koesuma, Jassica Listyarini,
Dimara Kusuma Hakim, Delfina Azzahra Kusuma

*15 January 2025*

*Abstract*
The province of Papua is situated in the eastern part of Indonesia.
Recently, there has been a notable increase in the frequency of tropical
cyclones and severe weather phenomena in this area. Understanding the
ramifications of tropical cyclones, particularly their influence on weather
patterns, including extreme rainfall, is crucial. This study seeks to
explore the consequences of extreme rainfall and identify possible
solutions. The tropical cyclone Surigae, which made landfall on April 18,
2021, considerably affected the region, particularly on Timor Island and
Sumba Island. We employed the ERA5 model to analyze the atmospheric
dynamics related to rainfall during these tropical cyclone events.
Additionally, we applied Bias correction from GeoMIP to evaluate the
rainfall data and compare the outcomes. The findings indicate a strong
correlation between both datasets, with a general decrease trend observed.

*Source: SSRN*

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