https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.174326715.50216360

*Authors*
Mark Robin Schoeberl, Matthew Toohey, Yi Wang and Rei Ueyama

*29 March 2025*

*Abstract*
Material injected to the stratosphere by volcanoes and pyrocumulonimbus
clouds (pyroCBs) is observed to have different lifetimes depending on the
altitude, latitude, season of the injection and removal processes. We adopt
a framework that describes the stratospheric lifetime of injected material
as the sum of lag and decay timescales and compute these quantities in
tracer simulations by injecting hundreds of thousands of trajectory parcels
and tracking them over 8 years. We simulate the evolution of the Hunga
water vapor plume from the January 2022 Hunga eruption. The simulation
suggests the lag time would be 1.4 years and the decay time ~ 2.3 years,
producing a stratospheric lifetime of ~3.7 years. From Microwave Limb
Sounder observations, we estimate the Hunga lifetime to be 3.7±0.36 years
which is in good agreement. Overall, we find that passive tracer lifetimes
increase with altitude and decrease with the latitude. If polar
stratospheric cloud formation is a tracer loss process, the lifetime is
shortened. Aerosol gravitational settling also shortens the lifetime and
should be included especially for aerosols with < 0.5 µm radius. With the
decay of Hunga aerosol plume, we use the lifetime and gravitational
settling rate to estimate a particle median radius of ~0.3µm in agreement
with other estimates. Our calculations explain the different observed
lifetimes for historic stratospheric injections and the changes in total
stratospheric aerosols and water observed after the Hunga eruption. Our
calculations are also relevant to geoengineering plans for modifying the
stratospheric albedo where sustained stratospheric aerosol concentrations
are envisioned.

*Source: ESS Open Archive*

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