https://eartharxiv.org/repository/view/8961/

*Authors*
Graeme MacDonald Taylor, Peter Wadhams, Tom Goreau, Suzanne Reed, Heri
Kuswanto, Daniele Visioni, Dennis Garrity

https://doi.org/10.31223/X5QQ86

*12 April 2025*

*Abstract*
The international climate strategy is failing. Current policies will act
too slowly to prevent rising temperatures from crossing critical climate
tipping points. IPCC assessments underestimate the non-linear risks and
catastrophic costs of overshooting Paris Agreement targets.
Opponents of solar geoengineering cite concerns about moral hazard and
other potential risks; however, at this juncture cooling interventions are
the only feasible way to stop dangerous climate change.
Worsening impacts will force many climate sceptics to address the crisis.
They will increasingly support solar geoengineering, as these methods will
allow global temperatures to be rapidly lowered without reducing emissions.
Major powers are already researching climate geoengineering. In the near
future one or more countries will almost inevitably deploy unilateral
climate interventions to prevent increasingly extreme weather from causing
massive crop failures and other deadly disasters.
To forestall the unilateral deployment of untested technologies, an
international program is urgently needed to research safe climate cooling
methods and develop effective global governance.
Solar geoengineering can reduce temperatures to safe levels, but will not
stop rising concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases from acidifying
the oceans and destroying critical marine ecosystems. Cooling interventions
are imperative, but they must be used as supplements for existing
strategies to reduce and remove greenhouse gases, not as substitutes.
To ensure constructive outcomes, international dialogue and research must
immediately begin on a new, viable climate strategy: supplementing
greenhouse gas emission reduction and carbon dioxide removal with cooling
interventions. There is no realistic alternative.

*Source: EarthRXiv*

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