https://aiche.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/aic.18854

*Authors*
David S. Sholl

First published: *30 April 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1002/aic.18854

*Abstract*
Estimates based on historical data place the probability of a catastrophic
volcanic eruption in the next 100 years at around one in six. Large
volcanic eruptions can lead to significant global cooling for 2–4 years,
with potentially devastating impacts on global agriculture. In principle,
the negative impacts of volcano-induced cooling could be reduced by
deliberate emission of short-lived chemicals with high greenhouse gas
intensity into the atmosphere. This article examines the physical
feasibility of this concept for a wide range of short-lived climate
pollutants, using the global chemical industry for context. Deliberate
emission of any known chemical species would require gigatons of material,
which would have to be produced and stored far in advance of the volcanic
event. The cost of this undertaking would be immense. In addition to these
daunting logistical challenges, a range of other uncertainties and
complications associated with this concept are discussed.

*Source: AICHE*

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